Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

[NCSNOW]

 

[sdm47]

Primed. Bring on the moisture. Amazing what an actual high pressure system can do for our marginal temperature woes we've dealt with all winter.

 

[LickWx]

Looks like the euro is about to show a ice storm, big CAD, low level cold is filtering in at the same time View attachment 66573View attachment 66574

Same time frame Gfs shows us in 60s right ? Yikes ! So split the middle it’s going to be 65 in Charlotte and 44 in Raleigh. 53 SDs house and 58 Fayetteville . 36 in Richmond with mixed precip north of there .

 

[Myfrotho704_]

dayummm ?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This is a EPS mean that far out !!! Look at that HP

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

This is a EPS mean that far out !!! Look at that HP View attachment 66587

CAD always saving our ?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Would think with a CAD like that, ice would definitely be a problem as well

 

[SouthSideYankee]

Pattern I'm looking for to give us our last chance second half of February.

View attachment 66564

Bro

 

[KyloG]

EPS building that pac ridge poleward.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

EPS building that pac ridge poleward.

View attachment 66590

that’s one way to get the cold out the arctic, hehe

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This looks similar

 

[KyloG]

View attachment 66591

that’s one way to get the cold out the arctic, hehe

This is way out there but this ain't bad.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

View attachment 66591


This is way out there but this ain't bad.

View attachment 66594

Very similar to early January

 

[Ollie Williams]

Very similar to early January View attachment 66596

It does look like there will be more blocking north of Alaska this time around.

 

[Webberweather53]

Very similar to early January View attachment 66596

Massive difference here is now there's a ridge being forecast over NE Siberia (-WPO) at least a tendency for one on the EPS. That'll evacuate a lot of the cold air out of Siberia and shove it towards northwestern N America instead. A pattern like that is going to make Alaska & the Canadian Rockies absurdly cold.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

It does look like there will be more blocking north of Alaska this time around.

Yeah that’s true, still worries me if we lose the favorable Atlantic with that look, but betting against the -NAO has been hard this year

 

[Webberweather53]

This pattern really is teetering on a knife's edge between a total dumpster fire & ice box w/ almost no room for in between. If the -NAO doesn't go away, some of that really cold air over NW N America triggered by a -WPO would definitely filter our way.

 

[Webberweather53]

Literally anything is on the table sensible wx-wise w/ a pattern like this being shown on a 10-15 day ensemble mean.

Absolute blowtorch or insanely frigid are both viable options atm

 

[Chazwin]

This pattern really is teetering on a knife's edge between a total dumpster fire & ice box w/ almost no room for in between. If the -NAO doesn't go away, some of that really cold air over NW N America triggered by a -WPO would definitely filter our way.

This seems to be a setup that could give us one of those storms where we are in the upper 50s or into the 60s one day and then the next be dealing with significant snow or ice. Getting a big day to day drop like that with a winter storm is one of my favorite experiences because it doesn’t happen much. I still remember the day before the February 1994 ice storm hit this area, being outside after school in shorts with sunshine and temperatures in the upper 70s... then the next afternoon driving home after an early dismissal with temperatures in the upper 20s with heavy sleet falling.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Lol I sure do love the 40-50 degree spreads