Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Welp, there goes the -NAO/ the only thing that we've had going for us of late...
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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
That’s too cold, we toss! ?
I feel ya man! It’s sunny and 40 here! Seriously out in short and t shirt , and it felt warm!
#NORTHTGEORGIAINFORMATIONIAMAGOOBERWEATHER says” look out for a possible winter storm in the SE the 17/18th! Y’all have been warned!
TPV setting up shop around SE Canada 
Looks like it builds back in 2 days later.
Jrips2710
Member
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
GEFS has been progressively backing off on the big block North of Alaska/in the Beaufort Sea around day 9-10. If this holds/continues it would mean less cold air is getting transported across the pond from Eurasia into N America. 
Theres actually been mPing reports of grapuel in parts of the ATL metro area
ATLwxfan
Member
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Apparently, kirk hasn’t checked today’s runs!?
NoSnowATL
Member
If Kirk isn’t talking about it then it’s not happening. The man has never missed a winter Storm signal.
They really are. The Euro actually has the cold coming inside 10 days now. Also we’re still at a point were there is still a warm bias to the GFS/GEFS
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The ensembles have been nudging the pattern towards CAD in the 6-10 day range. Obviously CAD is very tenuous and can easily turn into severe w/ a few modest tweaks, but I wouldn't be shocked if we got one or more cold rain CADs prior to ~ Jan 24 or so, an ice storm is also possible in climo favored zones of VA & NC if we played our cards right (or wrong depending on how you look at it)
ATLwxfan
Member
Apparently, kirk hasn’t checked today’s runs!
Kirk doesn’t live and die by each run like we do. (Some of we anyway)
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The trend and the longwave pattern is not that far off from a CAD on the EPS inside day 8. We'd just have to dig the western plains/rockies s/w a little more to the south and amp the s/w ridge over Ontario. Cold air & snow cover to our north looks pretty anemic in this time frame as things currently stand, so if CAD does materialize, I'd lean towards cold rain over ice.
ATLwxfan
Member