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Pattern January 2017 Discussion

SimeonNC link said:
[quote author=tellicowx link=topic=60.msg4225#msg4225 date=1483011305]
Holy GEFS mean......

12cd6c44f360c635b817f55d32a80173.jpg


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Can you post any other of the individual members?
[/quote]
eb040b2dd1f3eac8297070411d38e0f0.jpg


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Getting a nice thunderstorm here this morning  :lightningbolt... Old wives' tale supports us getting a winter storm within 9-10 days...  :snowflake:
 
tellicowx link said:
Storms gonna love the steps the EPS took I think. Clown map for the control is way under done imo. It took an almost Miller A path, just a tad inland. But overall definitely a step in the right direction.

EPS mean
6351ebf9cd43e933fca68d21650f2e48.jpg


Control clown
5dee5ebc0f309c0eb9c809c86a473c79.jpg


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Holy hell !!!

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E4 member looks more realistic for the first wave, E9 looks realistic for the 2nd wave and some other members from the GEFS.

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Interesting 06z GFS run, looks like a series of waves are poping up. It's getting better.

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Storm5 link said:
e396cbe9dbafb0ea948ae6b47d5b7f40.jpg


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I see that the 0z Euro is holding it's ground, that's good news.

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4 runs in a row on the ECMWF.... We'll see if we can make it 5 today. Although this threat is 8-9 days out, that's pretty remarkable run-to-run consistency.

12z December 27th
ecmwf_ptype_conus2_41.png


0z yesterday
ecmwf_ptype_conus2_382.png


12z yesterday
ecmwf_ptype_conus2_40.png


Latest run
ecmwf_ptype_conus2_38.png
 
snowman72 link said:
That latest run isn't good for me
We still have a long ways to go brotha. Don't take what you see for granted this early in time.

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NorthGAWinterWx link said:
[quote author=snowman72 link=topic=60.msg4236#msg4236 date=1483017355]
That latest run isn't good for me
We still have a long ways to go brotha. Don't take what you see for granted this early in time.

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[/quote]

Confused on that one.  Lol
 
OTD in 1997, a large early-season winter storm during the 1997-98 super NINO winter smacked the western piedmont and mountains of North Carolina. Snowfall totals in excess of 6" were commonplace from the Triad area & points northwestward, with up to 1-1.5 feet of snow reported in the higher elevations of the mountains.
Dec-29-31-1997-Snowmap-NC.png
 
WXinCanton link said:
[quote author=NorthGAWinterWx link=topic=60.msg4237#msg4237 date=1483018010]
[quote author=snowman72 link=topic=60.msg4236#msg4236 date=1483017355]
That latest run isn't good for me
We still have a long ways to go brotha. Don't take what you see for granted this early in time.

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[/quote]

Confused on that one.  Lol
[/quote]
Haha, just in case his hopes were giving up. Don't let one run shatter your hopes.

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Webberweather53 link said:
OTD in 1997, a large early-season winter storm during the 1997-98 super NINO winter smacked the western piedmont and mountains of North Carolina. Snowfall totals in excess of 6" were commonplace from the Triad area & points northwestward, with up to 1-1.5 feet of snow reported in the higher elevations of the mountains.

Oooo I remember this one for some reason. Flipped to snow for like an hour and it coated everything...then it was gone
 
whatalife link said:
[quote author=packfan98 link=topic=60.msg4239#msg4239 date=1483019403]
FWIW, the DGEX looks good at the end of its run.
a0aa06a359465a5ac0a4e0677bda3d76.jpg


LOL!



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[/quote]
Good ol DGEX, it has the snow finger pointing to the Carolina's.

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The DGEX, has that classic, southern winter storm to it!! Seems to be aligning pretty well with the other models!
 
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