Wintry January 14-16th storm potential.

[LukeBarrette]

These totals will be coming up based on short range and medium range models spitting out more and more with each run. Also I’ll be in Blacksburg starting tonight! Semester starts tuesday

there it is!

 

[WSW]

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there it is!

I think those totals may be low!!

 

[jrips27]

On the road to Meridianville, AL. Which is north of Huntsville. Close to the AL/TN state line. Got a buddy that lives there so a free place to stay. Worried about mixing though and wondering if I should go further north

 

[WSW]

View attachment 142278
there it is!

I see Mt. Rogers in there at 6-8!

 

[superjames1992]

models are pretty much useless now. Interesting precipitation is breaking out earlier than model guidance. Regardless of what happens they have been horrible. Literally trended in opposite direction.

The models are never more accurate than literally right before the storm. Sure, maybe looking at actual OBS is insightful at this stage, but when we live and die by the models for days, then “throw them out” right before the storm just because they don’t show what we want, it always strikes me as a hard cope.

 

[accu35]

18z Nam puts a good ice towards Mobile Al

 

[AlabamaWxWatcher]

FFC expanded the WWA slightly. Pickens Co to the east and down to Haralson Co to the south. A little surprised … must be expecting a little more freezing rain.

BMX also extended the WWA several counties southward in central Alabama. #ice

 

[JLL1973]

NAM always delivers

 

[Storm5]

Huntsville extended winter storm warning south bham winter weather advisory south

 

[WSW]

Nam'd. The Blue Ridge shows up so clearly.

 

[accu35]

 

[winterwx]

The models are never more accurate than literally right before the storm. Sure, maybe looking at actual OBS is insightful at this stage, but when we live and die by the models for days, then “throw them out” right before the storm just because they don’t show what we want, it always strikes me as a hard cope.

When I say they are useless. I’m saying it’s nowcasting time. I’m simply talking about the difference between them at such a short lead time.

 

[olhausen]

Well here we go!

 

[olhausen]

Nam Goes BAM ?

 

[Hootchiekoo]

And it begins, light rain/sleet/ snow mix in Rogersville Al. at 34 degrees. Seems to be more flakes now.

 

[WSW]

View attachment 142284

LOL a foot in extreme SW VA.

 

[cridolphi]

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Well, I'm right in the middle of that sweet spot, Franklin, TN.

 

[BIG FROSTY]

The Mountain block in full force!

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

If I was chasing I would go to Crossville, TN

 

[Showmeyourtds]

Am I missing something here? I’ve considered my area to pretty much be out of this since Thursday- curious as to what the logic is for this