The 00z/06z EPS and 06z GEFS still show the three scenarios we've seen in various modeling over the past 24 hours: 1) mostly dry east of the apps with only a front end band west of the apps, 2) a warmer scenario with a coastal forming but cold press not enough except in the western Piedmont / Mountains east of the apps, and 3) there are still a handful of members on both ensembles that show the late blooming, explosive cyclogenesis solution that would favor the eastern Piedmont / Coastal Plain as cold gets wrapped into the system.
IMO, there's still time for it to go in any direction, but I definitely favor either 2 or 3.
Nice summary. I’m solidly in the Option #2 camp for a forecast as of now. Main area of accumulating snow in foothills and mountains
Yeah to get this east, we need to press the cold boundary more early then go sharp with the wave late
Precip shut off before we dropped below freezing. So close. 31.8 now.Freezing line is from Whitesburg to Douglasville, moving east.
It actually does show some flurries around Birminghamheavy flurries coming down here east of B'ham but radar shows nothing.
Same here as wellTiny flurries by Truist park. #winning
Precip shut off before we dropped below freezing. So close. It's very heavy overcast outside and 30 degrees.
Blue skies back home so it should clear out. However, the temp is holding at 21.Temp is down to 24 now. It won't stop dropping and if we keep this cloud cover through the day I can't imagine what it'll be tonight after the sky clears and the wind keeps up some over the snowpack to the NW in TN. Not sure if 14 is too high or not yet.
was a flaming 36 this amPrecip shut off before we dropped below freezing. So close. 31.8 now.