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Wintry Jan 6-7 2022 Winter potential

After nice hit to TN and esp NC Mtns. 0z Nam misses by 60 miles. Vort Needs to dig futhure south, just nothing there to make it. Could have a ice event in Cad, but wrong setup in NE. No HP, No confluence.

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Chazwin said:
Yes and there might be some decent upslope snow on the back side as well. We have a trip to Maggie Valley this weekend to go skiing and snow tubing, and we were really worried last week that the pattern wasn’t gonna shift it time. It looks awesome up there now for the weekend
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Nice! It should be good up there!
 
6z GFS throwing out welfare Flakes to central NC

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RGEM says I celebrate again…..hmmm
 
GSP
"If the low tracks further north from its forecasted position, expect less in the way of frozen precipitation as warmer air is pulled further north. However, more snow for the mountains with the potential of some wintry precipitation slipping east of the mountains Thursday night if the low sinks south from its forecasted position as more cold air is advected into the CFWA."
 
I think it will move a little more south then pull a slight nw trend late.Almost always a late NW trend. But who knows, I would like to see it slide back west a little more than anything. Don’t like it moving East here in northwest middle tenn.
 
I have 2 questions. What exactly causes the NW trend late every time, and has anyone ever seen a storm start tracking south instead of NW when it’s actually go time? Just curious.
 
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FWIW, and I know this isn’t a Deep South storm but 12z CMC is a few miles south than 0z. Bringing ending snow showers in central Bama.
 
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