Wintry Jan 6-7 2022 Winter potential

[Avalanche]

Not getting my hopes up on this one. I’ve been surprised before though. I might drive up the mountain to 3500ft and see what’s going on up there in the morning.

Taking 76 on over to Highlands?

 

[tucker]

New:

 

[olhausen]

This is probably the best agreement I’ve seen the day before a storm on all 3 of these models. Look at the pretty colors.
euro ens

GFS ens

Oh Canada!

 

[tucker]

This is probably the best agreement I’ve seen the day before a storm on all 3 of these models. Look at the pretty colors.
euro ens
View attachment 102032
GFS ens
View attachment 102033
Oh Canada!
View attachment 102034

Can you pull Chattanooga for me?

 

[TheBatman]

About 25 mile south shift. That would a lot of sleet if that was true for extreme Northern Alabama.

 

[cyclogent]

advisories and warnings up for a decent chunk of the board. also impressive seeing 100% of the counties in Tennessee under a warning/advisory for the same system - that's rather rare

 

[Flotown]

Tropical tidbits froze up??

 

[accu35]

About 25 mile south shift. That would a lot of sleet if that was true for extreme Northern Alabama.View attachment 102040

That’s 12z lol

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[olhausen]

Can you pull Chattanooga for me?

On these maps it doesn’t come up as Chattanooga. At least not from what I see. A lot of these or all of them are air ports and I don’t know that region so have no idea what to look for. The maps I use are 15 minutes from my house because that the closest I can find. Maybe someone who knows that area can pull the correct ones.
I can give you these though.

 

[Flotown]

On these maps it doesn’t come up as Chattanooga. At least not from what I see. A lot of these or all of them are air ports and I don’t know that region so have no idea what to look for. The maps I use are 15 minutes from my house because that the closest I can find. Maybe someone who knows that area can pull the correct ones.
I can give you these though.

View attachment 102053View attachment 102054View attachment 102055

Tats so close in extreme n bama ,I think everyone would agree that it could go either way

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Tats so close in extreme n bama ,I think everyone would agree that it could go either way

Probably gonna be mostly/all Ice/sleet around Northern Alabama/northern MS, great looking event for TN, especially middle and northern parts of TN including Nashville, could be a nice fronto band that drops 1-2” per hour rates. But further south that’s a pretty stout warm nose on the nam 3km although it’s certainly close to becoming more of a sleet setup, especially in northern Mississippi, it could end of as a couple of flurries for N AL, but it’s hard to bet against the NAM and it’s warm nose it’s showing, especially with decent SW flow around 850mb.

 

[JLL1973]

View attachment 102047View attachment 102048View attachment 102049

that is a little more ice than i would like. you would think anything over .25 of ice would be winter storm criteria

 

[Flotown]

Probably gonna be mostly/all Ice/sleet around Northern Alabama/northern MS, great looking event for TN, especially middle and northern parts of TN including Nashville, could be a nice fronto band that drops 1-2” per hour rates. But further south that’s a pretty stout warm nose on the nam 3km although it’s certainly close to becoming more of a sleet setup, especially in northern Mississippi, it could end of as a couple of flurries for N AL, but it’s hard to bet against the NAM and it’s warm nose it’s showing, especially with decent SW flow around 850mb.View attachment 102057View attachment 102058View attachment 102059

I agree just saying if it's off just a smidgen it could be a different story

 

[accu35]

Gonna chase in north Bama tomorrow. When is the heaviest precip coming in?

 

[tucker]

If we can get temps to come in two degrees cooler in Chattanooga tomorrow will be fun.

 

[winterwx]

My high busted 3 degrees low today. High was 48 not 51… interesting

 

[tucker]

My high busted 3 degrees low today. High was 48 not 51… interesting

I believe we busted 2 degrees here. Would be nice to hang around 34 tomorrow instead of 36/37

 

[Stormlover]

Gonna chase in north Bama tomorrow. When is the heaviest precip coming in?

looks like midmorning through midday/early afternoon

 

[BillyMurrayWx]

I believe we busted 2 degrees here. Would be nice to hang around 34 tomorrow instead of 36/37

Cold air in the these storms seem to always struggle over the Cumberland Plateau to get into Chattanooga, Dalton, and Chatsworth when it is borderline.