JQPublic
Member
not sure which thread to put it in so pardon me, but what made the cold outbreak so accurately predicted a couple years back in Oklahoma and Texas vs what we’re seeing now. Why was there so much confidence with that outbreak?
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Pattern Jan 2025 Powered by Rheem AC
- Thread starter SD
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My tempest shows an average temp of 33.4 so far this month. Pretty impressive start to the month.
Snowflowxxl
Member
HRRR has Atlanta getting ZR and Sleet in the morning. Something to monitor today.
WEATHERBOYROY
Member
2 PLUS INCH SNOW REPORTS WERE SEEN WELL SOUTH OF BIRMINGHAM AND ANNISTON
Here's what the FFC said about tonight.
FFC:
A weak shortwave trough will track rapidly along the Gulf Coast
during this period. Lift from the trough should promote light rain
showers across central and southern Georgia. Preceding forecasts
have mentioned the potential for patchy light freezing rain in
central Georgia between 2 AM and 10 AM Monday. This risk appears to
be falling as models continue to slow the onset of precipitation and
increase surface temperatures in response to expected cloud cover.
The area under threat is also shrinking, and is now generally
confined to locations south of Newnan, west of Macon and north of
Columbus. Forecaster confidence in the occurrence of any freezing
rain is < 10%. The majority of the rain showers with this event
should occur Monday morning in central Georgia. Total accumulations
in the 0.01 to 0.15 inch range are anticipated.
NAM also had something for tommorow but was more warmer then the HRRR. 
Just for fun at this range, but that HP courtesy of Siberia would have to be a record high pressure that far south, no?
Notably the HRRR is verifying too cold. NAM is more realistic honestly for tommorow morning. Here's the highs per the HRRR.
So far this winter has exceeded my expectations. I had snow flurries & snow showers to start the week & a legit 3-4 inches in my yard to end the week. I'm ready for more dont know when we'll have it this good again
Brent
Member
Long story short... Consistency in extreme solutions
You could tell it wasn't your ordinary cold snap
Well have to see if we get that here. It will take several runs showing the same thing
If the GA thing gets some traction on the 12z runs I'll start a thread
Icon interesting in the morning. Snow on snow for the new snow capital of the south 
My backyard snowpack could use a little freshening.
If the Euro shows that, could get interesting.
RGEM has a few hundredths. I’m slightly intrigued. This is the kind of thing that could absolutely cause havoc on commutes if it overperforms
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Yes, I saw those. My sister's house in Birmingham got 3.5" of snow.
You can start to see showers coming off the gulf right now so this may verify..
Gotta love the weather apps on our phones LOL. it's suddenly showing 1-2" of snow late tonight and in the AM LOL. That is not happening.... cloudy at best is my call. Where do these weather apps pull their forecast from? There isn't one model showing snow tonight in ATL.