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Jan. 18-19 Hors D'Oeuvres

Ik new gfs is about to roll but this was a big swing at 18zIMG_0813.gifIMG_0812.gif

850s took a step back for many (this run popped a low off OBX lol) but manage <0c along/west of US-1. Your cold is simply coming from our arctic front swooping in and potentially overlapping with some of that precip. I may be missing something but precip looks to be mostly CVA driven? And that’s improved at 700 and 500 this run.
 
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Weaker low this gfs run. Trough broadened out a bit again but did produce some rate driven stuff over the 77 corridor ish
 
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it may have been almost slipping taking out the trash from the crust in my backyard that's on day 10 of sticking around. i've seen enough
Isn't there some wives tale about snow sticking around for 10 days?
 
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Little noise on the GEFS but not much. GFS is so out to lunch with other system I don't know I want to get excited about it here Sunday night
 
Little noise on the GEFS but not much. GFS is so out to lunch with other system I don't know I want to get excited about it here Sunday night
not really a lot of forcing around. i think just hope for some flakes and know its not super likely atp
 
Biggest event in 3 years here on the gfs. Giddy up
Would love something from somebody else. Ukie tosses a couple tiny flurries out on the backside and euro's got nothin.
 
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I'll be up in Boone this weekend. Does this count for this thread:
Friday Night
A chance of snow, mainly after 3am. Increasing clouds, with a low around 27. South wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Saturday
Snow likely before 10am, then snow likely, possibly mixed with freezing rain between 10am and 11am, then rain likely after 11am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38. South wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Little or no ice accumulation expected. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Saturday Night
A chance of rain before 4am, then a slight chance of freezing rain between 4am and 5am, then a slight chance of freezing rain and sleet after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. West wind 5 to 8 mph becoming north after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Sunday
A chance of snow, freezing rain, and sleet before 7am, then a chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 30. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Little or no ice accumulation expected. New snow and sleet accumulation of around an inch possible.

*******this mixed crap seems like the same thing I just went through with the last event.
 
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