TT Note:
"Jan 23: NOAA data downloads are very slow today, resulting in model delays. I'm working to retrieve the data."
"Jan 23: NOAA data downloads are very slow today, resulting in model delays. I'm working to retrieve the data."
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Thanks I just saw that...... interesting other sites not having same issue, of course I have no idea how that stuff works.
Yeah, I don't know. I'm guessing he has some proprietary mechanism that pulls the data and populates his algos. I suspect the problem is with that mechanism, rather than being on NOAA's end.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Not sure if anyone mentioned or heard, but one of my buddies down in south Houston picked up snow/sleet this morning after being near 70F late yesterday evening. Houston only gets trace snow events once every few years, it's his second for the season
Brent
Member
Don’t think so. Think it’s a TT issue.
WTF????
D
Deleted member 527
Guest
The GFS suite has the mjo meandering through phase 6. The Euro whips it into phase 7 pretty rapidly. That may be why you’re seeing a much warmer GFS and GEFS.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Euro puts the hammer down, up to 50 below normal in parts of the midwest & Ohio Valley. Our coastal storm in the medium range will play a significant role in the evolution of this end of the month cold snap if one comes to fruition.
packfan98
Moderator
I'm guessing that it will be somewhere in between. The Euro has been underestimating the MJO amplitude all winter. I will guess that it takes a few more days to get to phase 7 than what it currently shows.
tennessee storm
Member
The gfs is just playing. Catch up to the euro ... gfs trend toward euro soon later runs ....
Here is my new outlook. I don’t do this for clicks or money. There’s going to be a winter storm at least in the climo areas if euro is right with cold snap. Most winter storms strike as the cold is leaving. I am favoring the first half of February being better than the second half. Watch out north of Charlotte and west of Raleigh. Not a strong snow signal but more of wintry mix setup IMO. In fact, I foresee the rest of the winter featuring no all snow events for most east of the blue ridge. There could still be some 3-6” potential but mixing will rule the rest of the winter. As we enter March, I think a flip could occur to more snow over mixing in the climo areas. More on that later.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The EPS mean at day 7. Good god.
That'll end Lake Effect season pretty nicely.
pcbjr
Member
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Accounting for dispersion, we'd probably have to contend w/ the possibility for single digit lows and sub zero wind chills this time next week.
I think it’s doubtful at this point. Some snow yes but no all snow events the rest of the winter that Far East. Hope I’m wrong but that December storm will likely be the only widespread snow event for the Carolinas. The rest will feature heavy slop mixed bags bringing snow totals generally under 3”.
dsaur
Member
I just use them for entertainment value. If something is showing 3 days out, I get more interested. Or, if Goofy and the Doc are in agreement, but that's not very often..thus the added importance
I like the new Goofy ok, but it's has the same wild ideas Goofy gets after smoking too much. At least I haven't seen the 0 line in Cuba with the new one yet...but I may have missed it, lol. Thanks for the sleet wishes!!
dsaur
Member
No too many Jans. where the lowest I saw was 24. Hope it ends on a lower note