Kylo
Member
If it looks like this at the end of January, I give up. lol. Thankfully it'll look completely different this evening.
View attachment 11071
I like how the big AK ridge forces the jet underneath. That's how you load the pattern with storm chances. Unfortunately, there remains no semblance of blocking in the NAO region, which leads to storms that cut and highs that scoot out to the northeast up north. Could be a really good pattern for the midwest and NE. Hopefully, it keeps evolving.If it looks like this at the end of January, I give up. lol. Thankfully it'll look completely different this evening.
View attachment 11071
The GFS after 180hrs till about 300hrs is amazing. Sorry Carolina guys, I'll take that look the rest of the way. Big time phase and overrunning potential.
This is a really good example of what we should be hoping to see eventually inside of 100 hours. From virtually 276-384, you get this:
View attachment 11077
To this:
View attachment 11078
I mean, that is a sustained and favorable winter pattern. The -NAO forces the PV south, which in turn suppresses the storm track south, and you have a nice ridge out west in a great location with a great orientation. If this comes anywhere close to reality, you will see many snowstorms start appearing on the models.