Literally a downburst of cold air in the us on the fv3 lol
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It’s amazing what can happen when you get a little -AO showing up on the models. Still doesn’t seem to get me snow but those purple maps sure are pretty. I’m pretty sure you could get snow on a gulf oil rig with anomolies like that
HOW DO YOU HAVE -0°
LOOK AT CENTRAL ALABAMA
LOOK AT CENTRAL ALABAMA
Snowflowxxl
Member
-40s in Minnesota. Thats unreal.
-0 becuase it’s probably -0.1 - -0.4 which is rounded to -0
Look at that north to south US gradient. 80 in south Texas..-31 in Minneapolis..you don’t even have to drive border to border to find 110 degrees of temperature difference,.just imagine if you were a trucker taking a delivery of Modelo to Minnesota
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That is one of the coldest model runs I have ever seen. Virtually over half of the country is immersed in subzero temps. I had to save it, even though it is highly unlikely to verify that cold.
Brent
Member
Euro has went from snow here Saturday morning to 60s
Yea, went from snow storm in mid south to nothing but rain. I guess there will be big swings until this pattern change actually happens.
THAT WAS MY GUESS BUT WANTED TO HEAR IT FROM SOME WHERE ELSE
Brent
Member
arctic front is way slower this run, we do go from 60s to 30s during the day Saturday but the snow stays well north
Euro ends with a 1044 High dropping out of Canada. Not bad.
I’ll take the over on that day lol. Keep in mind the FV3 cold bias, especially that far out in time.
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WELL THIS RUN ON GFS FOR THE 20-25 TIME FRAME FLAT OUT SUCKS AS FAR AS 2m TEMPS GO
OH YEA , I UNDERSTAND THAT BUT FROM JUST LOOKING AT THE MAPS ITS LIKE MAN
packfan98
Moderator
6z GEFS Mean with potential for NC around the 20-21st and another threat for the entire SE around the 24th. Looks to be more opportunities to score after that as well.
SnowNiner
Member
Is that true all the time? The 6z gefs nicely retrogrades the war to a nice full block up top, with a look similar to the weeklies. Are you saying if that happens it's likely to be a very temporary fixture?
Retrograding that ridge to a greenland block seems the only to way to get a -nao in the near term, as theres a permanent trough near Scandinavia.
The 6Z FV3, similar to the 0Z run, has insane cold for the E half of the US late in the run (1/26-29). It even has two days way down here that barely make it to 32 (1/27 and 28)! Whereas I’m not at all saying this can’t or won’t happen with this pattern as it certainly could in the extreme, I’d say caution advised because it is two weeks out on a model with cold biased tendencies, especially that far out in time. By the way, 1/26-29 on that frigid run is, not surprisingly, dry in the SE outside of the mountains though moisture is pooling in the W GOM at the end of the run as H5 winds start shifting to a moist flow.