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Pattern Jammin January 2024

Looks real good. So show me that fizzle out into nothing boys.
On the next frame it’s snow from I-77 east in NC and the most eastern portions of the SC upstate. Probably not a lot but it’s under 528 line so it would probably be some higher ratio stuff. A second area of precip holds back over the southern half of Alabama and Georgia with a stripe of snow on its north… it drops down and looks like it evolves into the coastal that fires up 36 hours later bring snow to the coastal sections
 
Congrats to those in NW Piedmont, Apps and western SE sections will be in order for the first system. This one around the 21st will be ours on the east side. Right where we want it 8-9 days out

View attachment 141672
From the canonical -NAO perspective, this one certainly fits the bill. Still doesn't mean we can't score twice though!
 
Are any of the upcoming systems going to be a happy ending for areas in central GA (just north of I-20 line)?

Either of the two systems next week could be. Still TBD. I think the odds are more favorable for the second opportunity on the 19th. But just having two chances in 1 week is fun to track!
 
believe in the table setter theory.
My area does much better with solid cold levels already in place versus timing from cold delivery from the northwest. I can almost guarantee the cold will not make it far enough southeast to produce snow, sleet or freezing rain. It will just be plain ole rain in Atlanta south. Alpharetta, White and Gainesville, GA and points northwest might be cold enough. Out west near Buchanan, Dallas to Kennesaw will have a shot, too. They have some elevation to help them. Everyone else in GA can start looking to the 20th for another possible chance (though the 0z Euro said it will be a cutter).
 
GFS looks like maybe it wants to try and see the vortmax/energy coming down through BC now? Here is a little difference btwn the 00z and 12 GFS. 00z *from last night* is 1st and new 12z FRI GFS is 2nd. Just a little difference you think? LOL. Why is this important? IMHO that energy is going to come down and bring with the last piece of the Southern Canada Vortex to collapse the pattern out and produce a big winter storm in the SE.




00Z GFS .png12Z GFS.png
 
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