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Misc Jalapeño July
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
RDU is sitting at 98, will the warehouse catch fire and hit 100?
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whatalife
Moderator
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
NWS definitely was underdone here in Fayetteville today, with a forecast high of only about 98F, it's already 99F with a heat index of 114F, getting close to excessive heat warning territory...
95/76 HI 109 at the house prob too cloudy to hit 100 lots of Cu around as the Piedmont trough tries to get going
Looks like the trough is between me and the airport they have mixed out and dewpoints are in the 60s
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Excessive heat watch thatll verify better than a winter storm watch, no offense to the NWS. Certainly looking like both tonight and tomorrow night might have trouble falling below 80 with tomorrow being a better bet
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pcbjr
Member
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
There's definitely some boundary, probably a piedmont lee trough extending from about Wadesboro-Rockingham NC to just north of Fayetteville and into Smithfield and Goldsboro-Wilson, probably going to be a focal pt for any significant shower and thunderstorm activity the next several hours aside from upslope flow over the foothills and far western piedmont in NC and canonical development near the sea breeze further south & east... Definitely seeing a lot more filtered sunshine here at my place, a lot of building congestus towers... On another note, the thunderstorm that was over Chester County SC a little while ago seemed to have produced one heck of an outflow boundary/downdraft because skies there cleared within a matter of several minutes nearly county wide...
pcbjr
Member
thunderheads?
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Haven't seen any of those quite yet but I would not be surprised if one or two show up here within the next hour or so
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Yeah I haven't either, but I can't blame them because the urban heat islands certainly add several degrees to the heat index and there's probably more confidence that these areas will meet Heat Advisory and/or Excessive Heat Warning criteria
Same here. Will be interesting to read the afd might have to do with urban centers and the heat islands. That said the I95 counties seem like a slam dunk for 110 heat indicies tomorrow
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This isn't ideal since they are drifting SE
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I think you two were colluding in that response.... Lol. Yeah those urban heat islands, hate it for you guys, while I'm hot I'll at least get to mid 70's tonight y'all unfortunately
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I think you two were colluding in that response.... Lol. Yeah those urban heat islands, hate it for you guys, while I'm hot I'll at least get to mid 70's tonight y'all unfortunately
I know right, I guess great minds think alike? Lucky lol, like storm said I personally doubt we get below 80F tonight...
This is just brutal... from Rah NWS
The accumulative affects of 3 or more days with heat index values near or above 110 in the cities of Fayetteville and Raleigh combined with the failure of temperatures to fall below 80 at night will create excessive stress. If these readings are still expected in later forecasts, these two counties/cities will be upgraded to an Excessive Heat Warning.
The accumulative affects of 3 or more days with heat index values near or above 110 in the cities of Fayetteville and Raleigh combined with the failure of temperatures to fall below 80 at night will create excessive stress. If these readings are still expected in later forecasts, these two counties/cities will be upgraded to an Excessive Heat Warning.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Might have to keep an close eye out for big mesoscale convective complexes diving southeastward from the midwest OH/TN Valley into the mid-Atlantic and southeastern states given the large-scale, notorious NW flow/ring of fire pattern that will dominate the continuous US east of the Rockies this upcoming week...
Certainly wouldn't be the first major MCS of late and not the first time I've seen this from the ECMWF in this time period, wherein it's actually trying to sniff out a large MCS and rather potent MCV in the medium range (that attempts to grow upscale into a hybrid, subtropical or extratropical cyclone off the Carolinas), essentially amounting to a summertime Alberta Clipper...
Certainly wouldn't be the first major MCS of late and not the first time I've seen this from the ECMWF in this time period, wherein it's actually trying to sniff out a large MCS and rather potent MCV in the medium range (that attempts to grow upscale into a hybrid, subtropical or extratropical cyclone off the Carolinas), essentially amounting to a summertime Alberta Clipper...