Tropical Hurricane Season 2020 Model Archive

[Henry2326]

09/23

12z Euro and 12z GFS agree with the start of something down in the lower Carr on 10/3.

10/3 has been the start date for previous GFS runs that showed development.....

 

[Henry2326]

9/29
All have something entering the gulf on 10/4.

 

[Henry2326]

9/29

06z GFS PARA

 

[BufordWX]

9/30 00z GFS:

 

[Henry2326]

9/30

12z Icon wanders around for 5 days.....begins on 10/2.

 

[Henry2326]

9/30

12z GFS looks like 06z....this is the second wave....

 

[Henry2326]

9/30

12z CMC looks like GFS.....alittle faster....

 

[Henry2326]

9/30

12z Para doing the 2 step....one goes west and the other goes east....

 

[Henry2326]

9/30

18z GFS.....third run in a row with similar path although this run much much weaker.....

 

[Henry2326]

10/1

06z GFS.....washed them all out....no land interaction......Euro shows nothing

 

[Henry2326]

10/1

00z Icon flushes the first before it can get in the gulf....2nd one waiting.

 

[Henry2326]

10/1

12z Para

 

[Henry2326]

10/1

18z GFS at 234 hour

 

[Henry2326]

10/1

12z. CMC

 

[Henry2326]

10/2

12z GFS.....I'm not sure what page ro put this on....lol
So many ways for this to go wrong....

 

[Henry2326]

10/2

12 CMC.....holding to its story.....kill off the first one and send the second into the panhandle.

 

[Henry2326]

10/2

12z Euro......looks like it merges the 2 together.....ends up same direction as CMC and Icon.

 

[Henry2326]

10/4

18z HWRF (974) and HMON (970), both shifted east......ummmm.....at hour 84 HWRF shifts higher from 955 and HMON at 948 at hour 102.

 

[Henry2326]

10/5
12z GFS
12z Icon

 

[Dawgdaze22]

9/21 06z GFS.....end of run


View attachment 49146

okay creepy accurate

 

[Jessy89]

Bit surprised there hasn’t been a east trend


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[Henry2326]

10/6

12z HWRF AND HMON AT 950

 

[Dawgdaze22]

10/6

12z HWRF AND HMON AT 950

View attachment 49868

View attachment 49869

Correct me if I’m wrong but is that a Saturday afternoon landfall?


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[Henry2326]

Correct me if I’m wrong but is that a Saturday afternoon landfall?


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Just past midnight early Saturday morning.....

 

[Dawgdaze22]

Just past midnight early Saturday morning.....

Thanks. My apologies.. those times always mess me up. Hope it can make a day time landfall


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[910guy]

Thanks. My apologies.. those times always mess me up. Hope it can make a day time landfall


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Still a chance, they seem to usually end up running late.

 

[Dawgdaze22]

Still a chance, they seem to usually end up running late.

Yeah. Just need a 4-5 hour slow down


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[Henry2326]

10/6

12z Icon and CMC look out to Oct 13/14.....End of run for Icon but CMC strengthens it and takes it northwest.

 

[Henry2326]

10/8

12z Icon places it here on Oct 15.....GFS is in a similar spot at that time too. CMC is riding further north.
Icon and CMC have been giving this signal for a couple days now.

 

[Henry2326]

10/9

Some development on GFS para (10/20) for storm crossing MDR. Later in the run it pulls northeast. Euro and Icon put an undeveloped wave traveling in the same direction on earlier dates.

 

[Henry2326]

10/10

00z and 06z GFS catching on to the potential of the wave coming across the MDR.

 

[Henry2326]

10/10

GFS para

 

[Henry2326]

10/10

12z GFS
With 10/20 still in mind.....

 

[Henry2326]

10/10

12z GFS para....

Same thought, different direction......10 /20 in mind....

 

[Henry2326]

10/10

12z Euro

 

[Henry2326]

10/11

00z Euro stays with MDR moving west while 06z GFS stays Carrib.
2 solutions for the same time period that couldn't be anymore different.

 

[Henry2326]

10/12

06z GFS

 

[Henry2326]

10/12

12z Icon

 

[Henry2326]

10/12

12z GFS

 

[Henry2326]

10/13

00z CMC