Tropical Hurricane Nicholas

[BirdManDoomW]

2am update it’s gonna make a run at hurricane status today. Winds up to 60mph. Such a small tight core it could strengthen quickly just before landfall

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

This imagery goes up to 6:00 am.

 

[Belle Lechat]

Up to 6:34 am

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Henry2326]

 

[Henry2326]

06z HWRF still weak and coming in south of Houston.

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Henry2326]

 

[Belle Lechat]

Up to 7:34 am Central

 

[Belle Lechat]

New center forming?

 

[SD]

New center forming?

Probably. Pretty cool to see the internal struggle to establish a LLC via radar that we are typically trying to figure out via satellite or recon

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

I’d be damn near surprised if that end up being the new core further north east of the old one… this thing is bouncing around like I’ve never seen … we saw a massive blow up of thunderstorms last night and that has certainly given a massive breath of fresh air to Nicholas

 

[Belle Lechat]

Better view

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

Imagery to 8:16 CDT

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

It's as though the LLC is still embedded within a larger circulation and is moving in a cyclonic loop while at the same time SW shear keeps taking a toll. It's a mess.

 

[Belle Lechat]

Radar imagery to 9:35 CDT

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

Imagery to 10:07 CDT

 

[BirdManDoomW]

I’m confused if Nick has two centers does that mean Nicholas is not behaving as a straight acting storm for the NHC to forecast for

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[cd2play]

I’m confused if Nick has two centers does that mean Nicholas is not behaving as a straight acting storm for the NHC to forecast for

It has two eyes.

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

Date : 13 SEP 2021 Time : 162022 UTC

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
3.0 / 995.4mb/ 45.0kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
2.6 2.6 2.6

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/odt14L.html

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Looks to me that we now have a legit consolidated center @96W & 26.8N. It's going to make a run at cane status shortly I do believe.

 

[Arcc]

Still looks like garbage. Still obviously two low level circulations rotating around a broad center.