Tropical Hurricane Isaias

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

The mid-level water vapor clearly shows the decapitation strike racing toward the storm out of Texas. Its window is closing rapidly.

COD NEXLAB: Satellite and Radar

Check out COD Meteorology's Satellite and Radar Data

weather.cod.edu

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Arcc]

Thats close to a MH.

 

[Belle Lechat]

2 in now and one on deck.

AFXXX 1209A CYCLONE is scheduled to depart in 1 hour and 41 minutes

 

[Belle Lechat]

Dvorak loop shows maturing, closing in on Louisiana, northeast trajectory to recently due north. https://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/movies/odthtml5_09L.html

 

[accu35]

Dvorak loop shows maturing, closing in on Louisiana, northeast trajectory to recently due north. https://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/movies/odthtml5_09L.html

Hurricane models really starts ramping it up in a few hours from now.

 

[SnowmasterATL]

Hurricane models really starts ramping it up in a few hours from now.

Strengthening wise or movement

 

[accu35]

Strengthening wise or movement

Strengthening

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Snowman63]

It’s early but I would say the ai models won out on this with the eastern landfall and intensity.

I agree and correct me if I'm wrong, but I believe Google DeepMind's WeatherNext 3 led the way early on. The physic-based models and even the Euro AI took awhile before jumping on that east track.

 

[Belle Lechat]

Upper rope thickening, lower building to along the west coast of Central America

 

[Belle Lechat]

967.8 mb

 

[accu35]

Local news is saying the storm has been on a NNE movement for a couple hours and is north of the forecast track

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

Local news is saying the storm has been on a NNE movement for a couple hours and is north of the forecast track

The two forecast points are 9 hours apart. If my time zone, CDT, then now the center would be forecast to be 4/9 of the way after the 10:00PM point.

Current recon showing center around 25.9 N and 88.4 W, and it appears the center of Isaias is at the 10:00PM position, or the center of the white ball, 4 hours south, not north of schedule.

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Belle Lechat]

Looking at the updating water vapor image at the top of the page, there's a bump east.