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Tropical Hurricane Ida

SD said:
Big question is how quickly does the vortex take over/escape from the larger gyre that it's part of. Most models have been quicker and farther NE with that process thus the farther NE landfall.
Click to expand...
And I know it’s me saying this but it’s true that if this thing goes further NE like the models are painting then that gives the southeast way more of a shot to get fairly wet with a front combining over top
 
The cloud canopy from this thing would be massive per GFS .. this thing has an opportunity to become a beast
 
GFS stronger earlier and further East by a tad … I’m sure this is about to be another big show of a run.. HOLD ON
 
Is it just me, or is 99L in the process of developing far earlier than previously modeled? Sattelite certainly implies so.
 
Insane wording

A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next day or so from a tropical
wave currently located north of Colombia. Environmental conditions
are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical
depression or tropical storm is likely to form late this week or
over the weekend. The system is expected to move northwestward over
the northwestern Caribbean Sea and near or across the Yucatan
Peninsula of Mexico on Friday and into the Gulf of Mexico this
weekend where conditions are expected to be favorable for additional
development. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and flooding
will be possible through the weekend in portions of Nicaragua,
Honduras, Guatemala, Belize, and the Yucatan Peninsula. In addition,
this system could bring dangerous impacts from storm surge, wind,
and heavy rainfall to portions of the coasts of Louisiana, Texas,
and the Mexican state of Tamaulipas late this weekend and early next
week. However, uncertainty remains large since the system has yet to
form. Interests in these areas should closely monitor the progress
of this system and ensure they have their hurricane plan in place.
An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to
investigate the system Thursday afternoon, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
 
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