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Tropical Hurricane Dorian
- Thread starter Metwannabe
- Start date
Downeastnc
Member
Does not exactly fill me with confidence in any of its solutions, though the Ukie/Icon/Nam's have all been pretty much the same for a day or two now and every once in a while the Euro agrees with them....like just now with the 18Z and 00Z last night
This shows that the main shifts were from 18Z yesterday to 6Z today. This also shows that the effect of those shifts were most important for GA/lower SC (lowering of risk) and that upper SC/NC weren’t affected all that much.
That, and the EPS is given way to much credit. The UK has been, by far, the most consistent run to run and the EPS finally matches up with it's showing.
Downeastnc
Member
I would give a shout out to the ICON too its been within 20 miles of itself for like 2-3 days now it seems at least in NC....
GeorgiaGirl
Member
https://www.augustachronicle.com/ne...cuees-to-augusta-school-shelters?rssfeed=true
First I learned of an agreement that the county has with Chatham on evacuations. That's a good thing they've had going on as I'm pretty sure they've done it before in the recent years.
Savannah is pretty big but from that article and other things that I've seen, honestly more people than I would've thought with the forecast changing left the GA coast. Edit: At least to my area, although part of it is probably because it's close and if they come here, it's a very quick drive to get back to Savannah.
First I learned of an agreement that the county has with Chatham on evacuations. That's a good thing they've had going on as I'm pretty sure they've done it before in the recent years.
Savannah is pretty big but from that article and other things that I've seen, honestly more people than I would've thought with the forecast changing left the GA coast. Edit: At least to my area, although part of it is probably because it's close and if they come here, it's a very quick drive to get back to Savannah.
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Downeastnc
Member
Pressure in latest center drop was 956...about has the center totally wrapped in deep storms cooling tops spreading out as well....
Downeastnc
Member
Look at the eye smoothing out and the colder cloud tops wrapping around and expanding...I mean damn maybe he does make a run at 130 mph
Nam is about 45 feet northwest of 18z but it's much more expansive with the rain shield and divergence over NC
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You are not kidding, IR rapidly improving.
3k goes east and lines up pretty solid with the 12k now
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Brent
Member
Major on BT again no surprise
gawxnative
Member
10 PM Update down to 955mb...
Keep in mind that the vast majority of folks are pretty clueless about wx in comparison to us. So, they’re not as aware of the forecast changes.
Stout winds on the nam late tomorrow evening
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Nice wobble NE atm probably a result of that very deep convection wrapping around, as it does so let's see of it wobbles back north or this is a definitive direction change
Downeastnc
Member
