• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Tropical Hurricane Dorian

Thor said:
The 80 doesn't matter as much for NC it has slowly moved NNW this afternoon. The latitude gain is more of the concern for NC. The most dangerous solution is the NAM. But the way it gets there is a bit wobbly. Obviously if it gets to 32 degrees latitude that's going to be tough to miss land, but it seems like there's multiple avenues to landfall somewhere in NC. 
Click to expand...

Yeah, it looks like it could turn before then, but if it goes more north than a sharp NE turn, it looks like it could still hit NC.
 
Brick Tamland said:
Yeah, it looks like it could turn before then, but if it goes more north than a sharp NE turn, it looks like it could still hit NC.
Click to expand...

Its gonna hit SC and NC the thing is not some tiny point, hell its already hitting SC, and its been hitting Fl/GA all day. There is going to be widespread hurricane force wind gust all over eastern SC tomorrow even if the center stays 50 miles off the coast. Its also going to hit NC whether the center comes onshore or not.
 
May have to change the thread title again very soon. Maybe they'll hold off until 11 (i think they are doing hourly now)
 
Downeastnc said:
Probably want to see him sustain it for a bit .....if that north side fills in it could be off to the races
Click to expand...

Thankfully ships diagnostics do not look very good for rapid intensification. :D
 
Downeastnc said:
LOL yeah its a good thing intensity forecasting is so reliable huh :)
Click to expand...

Looks like early cycle 00z hurricane modeling want to keep her around high end cat 2 to weaker cat 3. hopefully they're correct this time around.
 
Downeastnc said:
Its gonna hit SC and NC the thing is not some tiny point, hell its already hitting SC, and its been hitting Fl/GA all day. There is going to be widespread hurricane force wind gust all over eastern SC tomorrow even if the center stays 50 miles off the coast. Its also going to hit NC whether the center comes onshore or not.
Click to expand...
That's why the always say don't focus on an exact point.... this storm is growing in size and strength, it gonna be a mess on the coast
 
Shawn said:
Looks like early cycle 00z hurricane modeling want to keep her around high end cat 2 to weaker cat 3. hopefully they're correct this time around.
Click to expand...

A storm that strong on the Euro 18Z track would be not so good for me, I enjoy a good Cat 1 every few years, but I dont need the center of a 120 mph Cat 3 40 miles to my east....of course if it happens I will be out getting video....
 
For the first time, there was at 9PM a decrease in longitude of the center: 79.7 W vs 79.8 for several hours before. Let’s see if this means an earlier than forecast turn to the NNE is commencing. For now I assume this was just a right wobble.
To follow where this is in relation to CHS, keep in mind CHS is at 79.9 W. So, the center has yet to quite make it to CHS longitude and may never do so.
 
Last edited:
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top