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Tropical Hurricane Dorian

Am I missing something that could keep this from going for the #1 strongest Atlantic hurricane?
 
ok...so HOT off the presses...LMBO OLD vs NEW (8am E vs 11am E) 11am is the latest they have (obviously slight delay)
To me its kind of telling. The trof looks less deep and pushing down. The ridge is fighting back over FL and the SE and the eastern part of the WAR (see old image circle) has weakend a bit. All in all IMHO, I see the ridge over the SE winning right now.

steering 8am E.gifsteering 11am e.gif
 
deltadog03 said:
ok...so HOT off the presses...LMBO OLD vs NEW (8am E vs 11am E) 11am is the latest they have (obviously slight delay)
To me its kind of telling. The trof looks less deep and pushing down. The ridge is fighting back over FL and the SE and the eastern part of the WAR (see old image circle) has weakend a bit. All in all IMHO, I see the ridge over the SE winning right now.

View attachment 22757View attachment 22758
Click to expand...
Hmmmm.....sorry layman here. Impact of that? Lol :)
 
deltadog03 said:
ok...so HOT off the presses...LMBO OLD vs NEW (8am E vs 11am E) 11am is the latest they have (obviously slight delay)
To me its kind of telling. The trof looks less deep and pushing down. The ridge is fighting back over FL and the SE and the eastern part of the WAR (see old image circle) has weakend a bit. All in all IMHO, I see the ridge over the SE winning right now.

View attachment 22757View attachment 22758
Click to expand...
Is it possible Dorian stays on a westward heading for a while?
 
What the map above tells me is Abaco Islands and the rest of the NW Bahamas is going to be completely devastated. The images I'm seeing already are heartbreaking. Here's one video from Twitter of winds blowing through someone's house, and another video below of surge flowing the streets of a neighborhood like white water rapids.

 
Henry2326 said:
Hmmmm.....sorry layman here. Impact of that? Lol :)
Click to expand...
Don't really know yet. We need to see if Dorian will slow down later today and tonight. I personally think the ridge is holding longer and he is moving quicker and outrunning the trof coming down ***for now*** its going to change, but when?
 
deltadog03 said:
ok...so HOT off the presses...LMBO OLD vs NEW (8am E vs 11am E) 11am is the latest they have (obviously slight delay)
To me its kind of telling. The trof looks less deep and pushing down. The ridge is fighting back over FL and the SE and the eastern part of the WAR (see old image circle) has weakend a bit. All in all IMHO, I see the ridge over the SE winning right now.

View attachment 22757View attachment 22758
Click to expand...
No way out..squeezed in....
 
I know its the HWRF, but is a big west shift...Prob the only model on the 12z runs to show this *so take with a big grain of salt* but it drives it near cape Canaveral on a NW heading to the GA/FL border and then North from there. At 'HR 90 now
 
12z GEFS: mean is the furthest east of at least the last 4 runs off FL and GA. Near most of SC not much change and maybe a tad closer upper SC/NC.
 
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