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Hurricane Debby

I’ve been concerned about the Fayetteville/Ft Liberty area, especially for very heavy rain, as I have family there. Check out these 11PM conditions

FORT LIBERTY HVY RAIN 77 75 94 NE16G22 29.64F VSB 1

FAYETTEVILLE RAIN 77 74 90 NE31G52 29.61F FOG

Is that really gusts to 52 at Fayetteville? Wow!
 
I’ve been concerned about the Fayetteville/Ft Liberty area, especially for very heavy rain, as I have family there. Check out these 11PM conditions

FORT LIBERTY HVY RAIN 77 75 94 NE16G22 29.64F VSB 1

FAYETTEVILLE RAIN 77 74 90 NE31G52 29.61F FOG

Is that really gusts to 52 at Fayetteville? Wow!
I dont doubt it. Its a stout band
 
Already 3.18” for today per this and 2.35” just within the last 2 hours per this:


Looking like a very rough rest of the night there!
I am about 10 miles north of Fayetteville and it is a blowing rain, don’t know about 52mph wind but 40s believable for sure. This will add up fast!
 
Typical coastal/ENC footprint. At least this time we don’t have to argue where the Rain/snow line is going to set up. A lot of rain for the triangle. I’ll be shocked if my area (GSP) picks up those 2-3” numbers TWC is talking about. That just isn’t how these things normally shake out.
And like clockwork the NWS has backed me down to 0.25” expected rainfall. Imagine my shock
 
I want to outperform this. Storms like these are why the rainfall averages for a lot of eastern NC are skewed so high in the 30 year averages, even here in Raleigh it’s a bit skewed because of em

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Those of us in the middle of it don't want to outperform any of it.
I’m just feening for rain, I’m sorry it’s the extreme weather lover in me. If it’s gon happen it’ll happen . I get it tho, Lumberton was destroyed twice … I don’t want to be that guy tho but it may be time to move anyone within a mile of the lumber river flood plain side, them rivers gon flood
 
I’m just feening for rain, I’m sorry it’s the extreme weather lover in me. If it’s gon happen it’ll happen . I get it tho, Lumberton was destroyed twice … I don’t want to be that guy tho but it may be time to move anyone within a mile of the lumber river flood plain side, them rivers gon flood
Fortunately I am in the northern part of the county, far away from any rivers and on higher ground, but yeah after two terrible floods, I would be wanting to get out of that zone.
 
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TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
101 AM EDT THU AUG 8 2024

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL JONES COUNTY IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
NORTHEASTERN ONSLOW COUNTY IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 130 AM EDT.

* AT 101 AM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED OVER KELLUM, OR NEAR PINEY GREEN, MOVING NORTHWEST AT
45 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE
DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
JACKSONVILLE AND KELLUM AROUND 105 AM EDT.
COMFORT AROUND 120 AM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE DEPPE,
TRENTON, LOCO VFD, AND HARGETTS CROSSROADS.
 
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
113 AM EDT THU AUG 8 2024

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
BRUNSWICK COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
CENTRAL COLUMBUS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
NORTHERN HORRY COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 500 AM EDT.

* AT 113 AM EDT, LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AND BROADCAST MEDIA REPORTED
THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. BETWEEN
4 AND 7 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA. FLASH FLOODING IS
ALREADY OCCURRING, WITH SEVERAL WASHOUTS REPORTED ACROSS HORRY AND
BRUNSWICK COUNTIES.

HAZARD...LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODING. THUNDERSTORMS
PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING.

SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED.

IMPACT...LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODING OF CREEKS AND STREAMS,
URBAN AREAS, HIGHWAYS, STREETS AND UNDERPASSES.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING INCLUDE...
OAK ISLAND, SHALLOTTE, SUNSET BEACH, HOLDEN BEACH, OCEAN ISLE
BEACH, CASWELL BEACH, BALD HEAD ISLAND, LITTLE RIVER, OCEAN CREST
PIER, YAUPON BEACH, HORRY, IREDELL, BOILING SPRING LAKES, ST.
JAMES, CAROLINA SHORES, SOUTHPORT, TABOR CITY, LORIS, CALABASH AND
BETHEL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DANGEROUS FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED, ESPECIALLY
NEAR POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND OTHER FLOOD PRONE LOCATIONS. IT IS
HARDER TO RECOGNIZE FLOOD DANGERS AT NIGHT, AS IT WILL BE DIFFICULT
TO DETERMINE THE DEPTH OF THE WATER. ROADS MAY BE DAMAGED OR WASHED
AWAY. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED,
THEN TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN.
 
Next scheduled Recon

Departure Time 08/0930Z 5:30 EDT
Time on Station 08/1100Z TO 08/1730Z 6:00-1:30 EDT
 
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