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Pattern Hotober

Local Mets finally going with more rain chances here, Sun-Wed and the whole stalled front idea! I guess rain events don’t provide as much click bait, but it’s a different time!
 
See what a little rain can do ?? I’m good
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I admit I can be impatient and I was convinced we would go from summer to winter. Instead we are going to go to a nice, gradual autumn. If the model runs are correct, this should be a nice and smooth transition. I’m reminded why I love the fall.


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ATLwxfan said:
I admit I can be impatient and I was convinced we would go from summer to winter. Instead we are going to go to a nice, gradual autumn. If the model runs are correct, this should be a nice and smooth transition. I’m reminded why I love the fall.


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You did go from summer to winter. Well actually you may can shave 10 degrees off what we have now. 45 at night and 65 during the day and you have January weather! ?‍♂️
 
ATLwxfan said:
I admit I can be impatient and I was convinced we would go from summer to winter. Instead we are going to go to a nice, gradual autumn. If the model runs are correct, this should be a nice and smooth transition. I’m reminded why I love the fall.


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Some very nice fall weather outside right now, feels perfect
 
GFS caving to the Euro on wide spread rain moving toward the pee dee regions of SC to the coastal areas of NC.


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Snowless & Grumpy said:
You did go from summer to winter. Well actually you may can shave 10 degrees off what we have now. 45 at night and 65 during the day and you have January weather!
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Yeah...no mid 40’s on the horizon quite yet. I’d guess we won’t have too many days in the mid 60’s come January...hopefully.


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This pattern is catching my attention, not just the operationals picking up on it, looking like a deep trough/ULL will be somewhere in the central/western US late next week/next weekend, with such a deep and broad ULL like that, wind fields will be screaming, and widespread at that, you also got the Bermuda high cranking in instability/moist airmass, that type of pattern would also cause flooding issues for someone, this look is a little bit ominous but it’s just the gfs, which sucks, something to watch tho E0F70CDD-F986-43B0-90F3-5B7E454263A6.jpegB8AEA045-DAE3-4470-B8FE-CA9C2BBAF996.jpegE9D3D86E-6B0B-4DEE-B7D5-C3FF1D1667C8.jpeg0910D975-339D-46A2-AD92-063FFC9F117D.jpeg5DBC2398-90D1-402D-9340-63D737407E82.jpeg
 
We hug!?!
Gets me more rain in the next 7 days, than I’ve seen in the past 6 months!7188B4D9-B5C9-4D25-8A56-A09A52A08BDD.png
 
I mean sure it's still above average but I'll take this and what might happen after a quick cool down next week 10 times out of 10 over it hitting 100 as late of October. The mornings have felt great of late. Afternoons a little warm, but nothing that is stupid.
 
Euro desperately wants to bring summer back to the eastern Great Lakes towards the end of the month.


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ATLwxfan said:
Euro desperately wants to bring summer back to the eastern Great Lakes towards the end of the month.


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Oct is the month that I start looking to for hints of the winter pattern. I sure hope this isnt a sign of things to come. Sure it's not 100 degrees anymore and doesn't feel bad outside but it's still above average and the ridging just wont give up.
 
Snowless & Grumpy said:
Oct is the month that I start looking to for hints of the winter pattern. I sure hope this isnt a sign of things to come. Sure it's not 100 degrees anymore and doesn't feel bad outside but it's still above average and the ridging just wont give up.
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This is an improvement from 12z ! Giddy up!45D7D369-28BA-44E2-82DE-10ED15EA99BE.png
 
Pants explosion! Euro shifted NW too today! I’m bullseyeing baby!!!?????☃️
 
Ollie Williams said:
:Weenie::Weenie:
Run 10/5 18z
Forecast 2 am Saturday, October 19th
Tis the Season
The First Ensemble-member (#3) for snow over central NC from GSO to RDU. Here's an RDU Meteogram
View attachment 24275View attachment 24278

View attachment 24276
Edit: The next time this will happen is, 10/10 18z GEFS M5View attachment 24381
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FWIW Today's winter ensemble member highlights
06z 10/11
Nice ensemble member into texas #19 @Brent does this make it to your backyard?
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18z 10/11 I believe this is the first member to make it into GA/AL that I know of at least outside of the much higher elevations #8
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