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Pattern Hotober
- Thread starter NorthDFWwx
- Start date
Brent
Member
49 degrees and drizzle
Well fall was fun
Well fall was fun
cyclogent
Member
Definitely overperformed on the front end here, with 1.57" officially thus far, most of that in the last 5 hours.
Edit: 2.35" now, 2.32 of that in 8 hours
Edit: 2.35" now, 2.32 of that in 8 hours
Last edited:
JHS
Member
The 18z GFS has a decent rain event in upstate SC in around 5 days for now. No way it'll be right. We will be lucky to get a drop SE of I-85 for the next 2 weeks.
Whoever made the ignore button is the best person and had good cognition
High Wind Warnings out for East Tennessee
Z
Zander98al
Guest
A good bit of tornado warnings in south alabama suprised not much coverage on the forum from it. 
You can see the longwave pattern wanting to repeat over and over with the trough in the SW and riding over the SE. Of course, it breaks down in the uber LR, but we already know that troughs, blocking, and cold on the GFS way out there are just code for the afore mentioned repeating pattern.
Brent
Member
Drizzle blowing sideways here
This is basically January ?
This is basically January ?
I love how all the models suck! The GFS has a known cold bias, now it seems to have developed a heavy rain bias! Showing big totals at 4-5 days out and then cutting totals by 90%
Absolutely! This is the se. 90% of our modeled winter storms and troughs vanish within 5 days. Nothing to be optimistic about down here when it comes to cold and snow.
CJ calling for 1-3 inches and BP showed a radar that had just a broken line moving through the upstate Sunday morning. ???
Yeah I’m not sure what the CJ raingasm was about but there’s no chance in hell we score anything over an inch. Next
campamy
Member
Just wow at the rain here today! Checked a few stations around me and they are all showing around 3.30" +/- ! After being shut out so much this is awesome!
Rainforrest
Member
Already 1” here on the southern escapement. Looking for another 2-3 Saturday and Saturday night.
Already NW shift from 18z! Mountains and E TN crushed! St Louis is mostly rain now, was heavy snow at 18z! I love the GFS
Modeled 1049 is nothing to sneeze at in January..but October?
cyclogent
Member
We made up for that dryspell didn't we lol. KCHA officially logged 3.27" yesterday making it the wettest day of 2019! Have to go back to September 2018 to find a rainier day.