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Pattern Hotober

GaWx

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The differences between the 6Z/12Z GFS and the 12Z/0Z Euro for 2 PM temps on 10/30 at ATL are absolutely astounding: 25 degrees with the Euro near 75 and the GFS near 50!!! It's not like this is 10+ days out as this is a mere 7 days!
Anyone want to bet on which comes closer? If I remember and can find this post, I'll bump it in a week.

I'll bet on the Euro coming closer and it being 65-70 at 2 PM on 10/30. Anyone else? Watch the broken clock Goofy get lucky this time lmao.
Bump. OK, the results are in. ATL was 70 as of 2 PM on 10/30. So, the Euro is the easy winner since those 2 had 75 while the 2 GFS runs had 50.

"200 PM EDT WED OCT 30 2019

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR S TO VISIBILITY
.

* = USE WITH CAUTION. THE STATIONS MARKED WITH AN ASTERISK MAY NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION, FOG, OR THUNDER AND ARE NOT
QUALITY CONTROLLED BY NWS.

THE REMARK "TC" DENOTES TEMPERATURE READING IN DEGREES CELSIUS.

GAZ001>058-301900-
NORTH GEORGIA

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS

ATLANTA LGT RAIN 70"
 

metwannabe

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Bump. OK, the results are in. ATL was 70 as of 2 PM on 10/30. So, the Euro is the easy winner since those 2 had 75 while the 2 GFS runs had 50.

"200 PM EDT WED OCT 30 2019

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR S TO VISIBILITY
.

* = USE WITH CAUTION. THE STATIONS MARKED WITH AN ASTERISK MAY NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION, FOG, OR THUNDER AND ARE NOT
QUALITY CONTROLLED BY NWS.

THE REMARK "TC" DENOTES TEMPERATURE READING IN DEGREES CELSIUS.

GAZ001>058-301900-
NORTH GEORGIA

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS

ATLANTA LGT RAIN 70"
Wasn't this about timing though? I mean if that front had of been a little faster the GFS would've been correct right, it was off what a day? Not knocking your research but it reads as if the GFS was off with it's temps (the cold bias) when in fact it was just off less than 24 hours on a frontal passage

edit: I see you said the 30th not 31st (for some reason thought you meant today even though it's not 2 pm today yet Lol). So it was still more about timing though and the GFS was off say 36 hours or so
 
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GaWx

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Wasn't this about timing though? I mean if that front had of been a little faster the GFS would've been correct right, it was off what a day? Not knocking your research but it reads as if the GFS was off with it's temps (the cold bias) when in fact it was just off less than 24 hours on a frontal passage
You're right that it was about the timing although it was off more like 36 hours as it had the front come through ATL Tue night, which is about 36 hours faster than reality (it is coming through about now).

*Edit: I see you realized it was more like 36 hours while I was typing this.
 
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On the warm side of the front here in the Raleigh area, it's 81 degrees with a dew point of 72. Doesn't feel like it's almost November. Happy Hotoween! This is likely the last time we reach 80 until late winter.
 
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Multiple mPING reports of wintry precip in jackson TN and starkville MS
I can confirm sleet mixed in with snow flurries up here in northern Middle Tennessee around 1pm today. Temp is a raw 38.5 degrees and dropping! Although it has happened before close by this is the first time I’ve personally seen winter precipitation in October imby.
 
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Its so weird seeing orange and red leaves and snow falling at the same time. Its coming down really good but ground is probably too warm to stick. It would be crazy if I see more snow in October than Atlanta sees all winter.
 
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