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Tropical Gulf Low May 14 - 18

lol I'm actually in south (maybe central) Florida ATM (have been for this weekend), it really isn't bad, just rainy, which is actually helping with the temps!
 
Well, this is that little system that I've been keeping a eye on
 
I am all for this developing. We need the rain for sure. I would think, haven’t looked too much yet, it would not get strong if it does develop at all.
 
Euro is weaker but still a system this run with a landfall in the Panhandle late Wednesday

GFS was pretty similar. Definitely whatever forms will be fairly weak most likely
 
000
ABNT20 KNHC 141332
TWOAT

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
935 AM EDT Mon May 14 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A large area of cloudiness, showers, and thunderstorms extending
from the eastern Gulf of Mexico across much of the Florida Peninsula
is associated with a broad surface low pressure area interacting
with an upper-level low. This system could acquire some subtropical
or tropical characteristics while it moves slowly northward across
the eastern Gulf of Mexico during the next few days. Regardless of
subtropical or tropical cyclone formation, this system will enhance
rainfall across portions of Florida and the northeastern Gulf Coast
during the next few days. For more information on this system,
please see products issued by your local weather office. The next
Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 4
PM EDT today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch
 
000
NOUS42 KNHC 141525
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1130 AM EDT MON 14 MAY 2018
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 15/1100Z TO 16/1100Z MAY 2018
TCPOD NUMBER.....18-001

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT SYSTEM (NE GULF OF MEXICO)
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71 FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 72
A. 15/1800Z A. 16/1130Z
B. AFXXX 01AAA INVEST B. AFXXX 0201A CYCLONE
C. 15/1600Z C. 16/0900Z
D. 28.0N 85.0W D. 29.0N 87.0W
E. 15/1730Z TO 15/2200Z E. 16/1100Z TO 16/1430Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. RESOURCES PERMITTING G. RESOURCES PERMITTING

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 12-HRLY FIXES IF SYSTEM
DEVELOPS AND REMAINS A THREAT, RESOURCES PERMITTING.
3. REMARKS: THIS IS A SPECIAL TCPOD. DAILY TCPODS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE ISSUED WHILE AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE MISSIONS
ARE BEING CONSIDERED OR TASKED FOR THIS SYSTEM.
Recon is going to take a look at the storm for the next few days.
 
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