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Misc General Banter Thread

Bigedd09 said:
ed27dfeb8c919614615adfacf9a77ba2.jpg

Legit band from the Raleigh area to Georgia


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If you long press on the picture you can save it directly. It will be much better for sharing than a screenshot.
 
NCPROGRAMMER said:
It may be right this time but I have seen it fail. All models do and I hope it is this time haha. Good luck everyone.
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I think the Raleigh crowd should root for a stronger ULL. Relying on the coastal development is risky business. And you sorta need to pick one or the other right now and not get caught in-between.
 
F this dry layer smh. Makes me so mad how hard it is to get a solid snow. There’s always something


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rburrel2 said:
I think the Raleigh crowd should root for a stronger ULL. Relying on the coastal development is risky business. And you sorta need to pick one or the other right now and not get caught in-between.
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To be honest, this is not really the most ideal set up for central NC. I am leaning more and more on what Web said on here. A snow hole in central NC with snow on both sides. His logic makes sense.
 
Bigedd09 said:
F this dry layer smh. Makes me so mad how hard it is to get a solid snow. There’s always something


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We will see. Sometimes we get hours of virga and other times it starts right away. I know that @Webberweather53 has talked about the ingredients that go into this.

I also think that sometimes tv Mets use it as a copout so they have an excuse for not go with higher totals or why their forecast busts on the low end.
 
I think up to 2” is a reasonable estimate for around here, with higher in bands.

I’m not gonna lie, the fact this is a ULL makes me nervous instead of cheering. Part of me wants to chase if it looks like the best banding won’t get me, but the adult in me says no because I have never driven on icy roads and this time, it will for sure be at freezing.
 
NCPROGRAMMER said:
To be honest, this is not really the most ideal set up for central NC. I am leaning more and more on what Web said on here. A snow hole in central NC with snow on both sides. His logic makes sense.
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Still hope for some last-minute trends, but it's looking more and more like a minor-moderate storm for central NC. RAH has a large area of 2-4" for Saturday across our area. Maybe an inch or two the night before and after. I'm actually going with these numbers to keep my sanity. All my family and friends are asking how much, and I'm saying 3-5" total, with a small chance of more. Funny thing is most non-weather folks would think 3-5" was a great win; not knowing the models we've seen the last few days.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
I think up to 2” is a reasonable estimate for around here, with higher in bands.

I’m not gonna lie, the fact this is a ULL makes me nervous instead of cheering. Part of me wants to chase if it looks like the best banding won’t get me, but the adult in me says no because I have never driven on icy roads and this time, it will for sure be at freezing.
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I’m with ya, [mention]GeorgiaGirl [/mention] .. I can’t decide whether to chase or stay put. If we could see 3 inches here in North Augusta, I’d be happy…
But based on our history and being on the very edge of things here, that’s feeling unlikely. I may have to chase to Columbia, but really need to make that decision by this evening


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ducketta27 said:
I’m with ya, [mention]GeorgiaGirl [/mention] .. I can’t decide whether to chase or stay put. If we could see 3 inches here in North Augusta, I’d be happy…
But based on our history and being on the very edge of things here, that’s feeling unlikely. I may have to chase to Columbia, but really need to make that decision by this evening


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Welcoming thoughts from the board I thought about AirBNB in Columbia or Rock Hill areas… but if I could see 3 inches of powder in my own backyard… man, I haven’t seen that in 15 years.


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packfan98 said:
We will see. Sometimes we get hours of virga and other times it starts right away. I know that @Webberweather53 has talked about the ingredients that go into this.

I also think that sometimes tv Mets use it as a copout so they have an excuse for not go with higher totals or why their forecast busts on the low end.
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Yeah I feel like they’re overdoing the dry layer. It’s looking like dew points are going to be in the low to mid teens at the lowest. We’re not talking about anything ridiculous from that perspective. I think the old term “upper level low, weatherman’s woe” really applies here and the dry air is something they can lean on if things don’t go as planned.

Fwiw, the two mets I watched this morning are still pretty bullish on totals for a first call. One was calling for 3-5 and the other 3-7 for Charlotte proper.
 
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FallsLake said:
Still hope for some last-minute trends, but it's looking more and more like a minor-moderate storm for central NC. RAH has a large area of 2-4" for Saturday across our area. Maybe an inch or two the night before and after. I'm actually going with these numbers to keep my sanity. All my family and friends are asking how much, and I'm saying 3-5" total, with a small chance of more. Funny thing is most non-weather folks would think 3-5" was a great win; not knowing the models we've seen the last few days.
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Yep. This one was on the tee with Hank Aaron in the batter box. Get a shot like this maybe every 5-10 years. When I say shot, I'm talking about just a chance to swing the bat. Anytime you see/hear the word transfer, It should serve as a red flag as we all know. In addition, riding a ULL is fools Gold. If your not sitting right to the north /NW of its track, regardless of a transfer, your gonna get table scraps. The Ukmet and Canadian hug tight enough to the coast to still work, but it has to be frustrating, especially northern coastal plain. They had chance to really get a historic storm.
 
CltNative90 said:
Yeah I feel like they’re overdoing the dry layer. It’s looking like deep points are going to be in the low to mid teens at the lowest. We’re not talking about anything ridiculous from that perspective. I think the old term “upper level low, weatherman’s woe” really applies here and the dry air is something they can lean on if things don’t go as planned.

Fwiw, the two mets I watched this morning are still pretty bullish on totals for a first call. One was calling for 3-5 and the other 3-7 for Charlotte proper.
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Yeah, it looks like 3” is the floor for many folks here. A great place to be.
 
NCSNOW said:
Yep. This one was on the tee with Hank Aaron in the batter box. Get a shot like this maybe every 5-10 years. When I say shot, I'm talking about just a chance to swing the bat. Anytime you see/hear the word transfer, It should serve as a red flag as we all know. In addition, riding a ULL is fools Gold. If your not sitting right to the north /NW of its track, regardless of a transfer, your gonna get table scraps. The Ukmet and Canadian hug tight enough to the coast to still work, but it has to be frustrating, especially northern coastal plain. They had chance to really get a historic storm.
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Yeah, I’m glad the drier weaker trend of the ULL has stopped. I’ll take my chances for our location. We are usually on the south end of potential. Not this time. Sit back and enjoy what we get.
 
LongRanger said:
I'd bet every thing I have if I was a betting man, Upstate is not seeing 12"+ of snow. Just enjoy your 2-4"
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Agree these ULL totals are unrealistic. Someone may get a heavier band but a lot are going to be disappointed if they stick to the Euro guidance.

The main event is and always has been the coastal low along and east of US1 through SC and NC.
 
As much as this has trended back west, it can easily go the other way. We’ve seen it plenty of times. Lots of time still to go before we have the final solution. I still think lots of folks see 2-4 inches out to this. I’m still not buying into these large numbers.
 
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