• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Misc General Banter Thread

Its kind of crazy how similar this next system's dates are setting up with the circumstances I found myself in this past summer/fall. Back in late summer or early fall of last year, my family was planning on going out of town the weekend of Jan 31st and originally we were all going, but after my luck from earlier in the year of missing two of the most significant severe weather events over my home the same days I had left, I nearly guaranteed there would be a major snow event on the weekend we left since I was headed out of town. I decided I would stick back just in case this threat actually materialized, but I was really thinking it might. Now we have a threat setting up precisely around this weekend. Not sure if me staying back at home will prevent it from happening, but still crazy to see the prediction from 6 months out has somewhat of a chance of actually verifying!
 
Nothing like all of the early wintry hype on a storm, only to get the chair pulled out from under you. And when you think things couldn’t get any worse, we throw out another storm for next weekend to get our hopes destroyed by Thursday.
 
That storm showing up on the coast, trust me won’t move, maybe 50 miles north or south (talking about in the end). And be pure wonderful snow. Always works that way when it shows up a big snow for them.
The gulf coast got one big snow in what 50-100 years and now everyone acts like every storm has to go their way… based on history, the nw trend will always have it way, granted there are exceptions but they are rare! Just like the gulf coast storm last year.
 
The gulf coast got one big snow in what 50-100 years and now everyone acts like every storm has to go their way… based on history, the nw trend will always have it way, granted there are exceptions but they are rare! Just like the gulf coast storm last year.
I don't know. The pattern seems to get more amped these days.
 
The gulf coast got one big snow in what 50-100 years and now everyone acts like every storm has to go their way… based on history, the nw trend will always have it way, granted there are exceptions but they are rare! Just like the gulf coast storm last year.
Nope, We are going to get round 2. ;)
 
Question for the board: Do you think it is more "fair" for significant snowfall to occur in Gulf Coast cities like Houston, Nola, and Pensacola or deep SE coastal cities like Jacksonville, Savannah, Charleston, and Wilmington? Fairly similar snowfall rates historically between the two, as far as I can tell, so curious to hear everyone's thoughts.
 
12z JMA looks similar ish to the GFS, etc. Seems to start the northern half of NC as snow. Putting this in banter because this model might have negative value.
 
What am I missing here? The only thing being talked about in here for Alabama is rain. High impact? Has something changed?
 

Attachments

  • IMG_1386.png
    IMG_1386.png
    1.4 MB · Views: 25
The gulf coast got one big snow in what 50-100 years and now everyone acts like every storm has to go their way… based on history, the nw trend will always have it way, granted there are exceptions but they are rare! Just like the gulf coast storm last year.
It's wild how some people can exaggerate or extrapolate an instance and then make it a common occurrence. I have a friend who loves to use outliers as strong argumentative/debatable points. Too many people seem to lack analytical thinking skills. Enough of my being on the soapbox, lol.
 
The gulf coast got one big snow in what 50-100 years and now everyone acts like every storm has to go their way… based on history, the nw trend will always have it way, granted there are exceptions but they are rare! Just like the gulf coast storm last year.
To be fair, I think when most people say that, it is facetious. I say it but I don't believe it, LOL.
 
Btw, i would encourage everyone to take pictures of everything outside around your house/area before it starts because odds are it will look a lot different after this storm is over.
I literally just said this to myself, gonna walk out and snap some pics cause goodness….
 
The gulf coast got one big snow in what 50-100 years and now everyone acts like every storm has to go their way… based on history, the nw trend will always have it way, granted there are exceptions but they are rare! Just like the gulf coast storm last year.
2 actually. It just snowed across the Gulf Coast states (including South Georgia) this past weekend.
 
Flatter, colder, less moisture transfer.

More of a classic Miller A storm. Not full on Miller A but closer than this hybrid garbage
So then I would expect this would change the p-type on the front end of the storm, more snow-->ip further south in NC?

I feel like this is one of those scenarios that a met from the 1980s (without access to today's computers) would see the setup and would have had a very different solution from the models over the last week...
 
I’m already moving on to spring season i’m not buying in to any more fantasy bull crap just to get my heart broken and dive over a cliff for another let down all over again. It already sucks missing snow to the south of me and yet another to the north and west of me just to believe another storm next week have a chance to miss to the south of me hell no f..k that. Sorry guys i’m in my feelings missing out on snow
 
we have almost a winter hurricane on the gfs

View attachment 188055

Didn’t really fully notice this until I was just browsing right now.

Yeah, I think I’ll have to actually pass on this run. It’d be fascinating to witness, but could well end up being dangerous stuff.

Edit: just give me a good 5-6, or 10 inch storm within the next few weeks and then we can flip to spring for the second half of Feb.
 
Back
Top