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Misc General Banter Thread

Western piedmont screw zone but congrats central Florida!
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Bigedd09 said:
I think we see models trend wetter today


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Ugh! I totally hope not for the sake of everyone on this board, I would say though. The 925mb map from the 6z HRRR looked interested to me. It looks like sleet might save alot of you guys. Even down or close to ATL.
 
rburrel2 said:
I’m gonna take some NyQuil tonight and try and get a full nights sleep. Have to be as fresh as possible for Saturday night bc there’s no chance I’m sleeping then.
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RBurrel2, can you check your message when you can. Thank you. Got a question about the 925 temps.
 
I’m less concerned than I was yesterday down this way, but I will say that the Euro just remains hard to believe. There’s been plenty a time in the spring where X temp was predicted and didn’t occur because the wedge was stronger than anticipated, and a handful of big swing and misses. And it would stop severe weather from occurring, and in this hypothetical case, may mean folks as short as 50-75 miles north of me stay ice for longer.

For my intents and purposes, there may be a window late Sat night-Sun, but it’s looking like the failure mode of precip mostly staying north may well happen.
 
Bigedd09 said:
I think we see models trend wetter today


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I hope not. Looks like it’s going to be devastating in my area. I’m lucky enough to have underground power lines and no trees behind me, but a lot of Forsyth is still very wooded
 
TigerSnow said:
What are you thinking in our neck of the woods? Worried about power outages or think we can get lucky with lower qpf and sleet?
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Definitely think we see a good bit of ice. I don’t think there will be many power outages though. Sleet could be the predominant precip type though


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FallsLake said:
Latest (long range at 9z) RAP is very interesting. Gives me all sleet (and little snow) through hour 51. It is very dry to the SW from Charlotte to Atlanta. But still has more QPF to come in later. ***man, these models are all over the place for QPF
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I'm starting the think there's going to much less precip than modeled by some of the suites. Considering how this low pressure is going so far west, it makes sense to me that all the moisture is to our north and west. We're essentially south of the comma head. I wouldn't be surprised if this thing evaporates alot more today.

FallsLake said:
Went back and looked at the 0z 3k NAM. At hour 60 it has RDU in the upper 20s. About a half inch of QPF has fallen primarily as sleet(1.5"??). The image below (hour 60) shows freezing rain filling in from NE NC down towards Atlanta. Point is, 3k NAM would still be a significant storm.

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Case in point. that looks very anemic, spotty showers.
 
SnowNiner said:
I'm starting the think there's going to much less precip than modeled by some of the suites. Considering how this low pressure is going so far west, it makes sense to me that all the moisture is to our north and west. We're essentially south of the comma head. I wouldn't be surprised if this thing evaporates alot more today.



Case in point. that looks very anemic, spotty showers.
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To my untrained eye it certainly lay looks that way too. Hopefully that’s the case. I would love to avoid a major ice storm and what comes along with it.
 
For Atlanta proper I think it’s a crapshoot at this point. Only so much can be said about what to expect for the city itself - it was one thing in regards to extent of CAD and temps in the city are now expected to be borderline, it’s another thing now that QPF may be limited depending on where that dry slot sets up. NE of the city feels like a near certainty of a significant ice storm… but for us here in the city it’ll (unfortunately but like almost always) come down to nowcasting
 
Honestly the more I look at this storm after the overnight stuff, I’m wondering if it’s just gonna be a slop fest instead.
 
SnowNiner said:
I'm starting the think there's going to much less precip than modeled by some of the suites. Considering how this low pressure is going so far west, it makes sense to me that all the moisture is to our north and west. We're essentially south of the comma head. I wouldn't be surprised if this thing evaporates alot more today.



Case in point. that looks very anemic, spotty showers.
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This one’s done….. RGEM inside 48 is money. Man there’s gonna be some PISSED off people from ATL - Raleigh on Sunday when they all paid 500 dollars ect for prep and it flops. They won’t see it as a good thing they’ll see it as “Dumbass Weatherman wrong again” lol when they have ZERO clue first thing to even look at


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WolfpackHomer91 said:
This one’s done….. RGEM inside 48 is money. Man there’s gonna be some PISSED off people from ATL - Raleigh on Sunday when they all paid 500 dollars ect for prep and it flops. They won’t see it as a good thing they’ll see it as “Dumbass Weatherman wrong again” lol when they have ZERO clue first thing to even look at


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Returns line will be as long as it was to buy the stuff. I know I have a heater it looks like I’ll be returning to Lowe’s.
 
I honestly don’t know if Raleigh will ever see a snow event again. If it can’t even produce an inch with this setup in the middle of January…then it’s not happening.

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First post after mostly lurking on the other site for years.

This is trending to be little more than a nuisance event for CLT with most models showing significantly less QPF. Will be thankful for the lack of ice, but what an epic fail likely incoming by the models and Mets. Will make it even harder for the general public to take the next “real” one serious.

After using words like “crippling” and “catastrophic” for days there is (fortunately) going to be egg on a lot of faces.
 
Seems like with every event where we want snow and have the cold in place we're praying for QPF and then it dries up. Not going to be shocked if it happens to these ice forecasts as well. Would only be fair to get some benefit for a change.
 
SnowDeac said:
First post after mostly lurking on the other site for years.

This is trending to be little more than a nuisance event for CLT with most models showing significantly less QPF. Will be thankful for the lack of ice, but what an epic fail likely incoming by the models and Mets. Will make it even harder for the general public to take the next “real” one serious.

After using words like “crippling” and “catastrophic” for days there is (fortunately) going to be egg on a lot of faces.
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Seems to be moving that way.
 
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