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Misc General Banter Thread

ATLCT said:
Timing of any icing in Atlanta would most likely be after dark Saturday even with the GFS, right?

I know this place isn't for an official forecast, but want to make sure what I'm seeing on the models is what I think it is
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Be in the house by 5p on Saturday
 
Drizzle Snizzle said:
I mean I have a feeling Atlanta will get SOME ice, but usually what happens is the city gets a little ice and areas in Gwinnett and Forsyth get a lot more.
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Growing up in Gwinnett and in Gainesville many many (most)times the wedges were not pronounced enough in the models.
 
Probably going to be pretty awful here in Hart County I would imagine. I don't think some people are paying attention. Of course they don't believe what they hear these days.
 
lcpdk said:
I'm wondering if they will have court anywhere in central NC next week. (Attorney comment)
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Not if we have half of what the major models are forecasting. Nobody is going anywhere anytime soon - much less to the courthouse.
It's going to be a frozen mess for a week, maybe plus. I guess the school kids will enjoy it while we saw up fallen branches and trees just to get to the mailbox.
 
jrips27 said:
Snippet from FFC discussion

Wedge Intensity Over the Weekend

Trends in the guidance, particularly the ECMWF, towards a warmer event have received quite a bit attention in the last 24 hours. While these trends are are potentially positive as they would
support a rapid erosion of the wedge and less widespread ice accumulation in Georgia, they represent only a portion of the guidance. About half the EPS members keep temperatures in Atlanta 20 degree colder than the ECMWF on Sunday, while half the GEFS members
keep the Atlanta near or below freezing through Sunday. These inconsistencies reflect the the models struggle to resolve the wedge
and its potential strength. Historically models overestimate the ability of strong mid-level WAA to erode the wedge. This has been
particularly true when the wedge is being reinforced by dry CAA and evaporative cooling. Given these considerations, we seem to be
trending towards an event where we start off with a fairly widespread mix of light freezing rain and sleet on Saturday. As the
southerly flow intensifies Saturday night and Sunday it may erode the southern edge of the wedge while the core of the wedges strength
holds true in northeast Georgia. This would lead to contracting temperature gradients and a potential switch over to rain in parts
of northwest and central Georgia. It wouldn`t be surprising if temperatures gradients between Athens and Macon exceeded 30 degrees
on Sunday! Where the wedge traditionally holds strong in northeast Georgia icing may continue through the entire day on Sunday.
Significant and very impactful ice accumulations of 0.25 to 1.25 inches may occur. As such the greatest risk for widespread power outages, tree damage and major travel impacts appears to be focused on northeast Georgia. A great deal of uncertainty remains regarding
potential ice accumulations along an arc from Rome to Atlanta to Augusta. How much ice this area receives will depend entirely on how
strong the wedge is. Some risk of freezing rain remains for central Georgia, especially Saturday and Saturday night, but at this time the trends for this area suggest a decreasing potential for significant impacts.
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Based on their discussion and watches I’d say they are leaning Euro more than anything else. I’m glad they expanded their watches where they did, it makes more sense now.
 
J.C. said:
Based on their discussion and watches I’d say they are leaning Euro more than anything else. I’m glad they expanded their watches where they did, it makes more sense now.
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Agree.

FFC is doing it the right way. The best they can with what they have. Even if worst case scenario happened, I’d defend their approach.

Defense might be delayed in that worst case scenario. But only cuz fiber and mobile service was lost.
 
PEA_RIDGE said:
FUNNY YOU SPEAK OF THAT. ITS KINDA LIKE LOCAL TV METS THAT MAKE THEIR OWN SEVERE WEATHER GRAPHICS AND THEY LOOK TOTALLY DIFFERENT THAN NWS OFFICE PRODUCTS OR THEY HAVE A COMPLETLY DIFFERENT FORECAST
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I absolutely do not endorse that.

I might be old skool, but I just don’t trust something that is open to click bait and capitalism (but God bless it).

If you can brand it or manipulate it in any way and people’s lives and/or property are at stake…. It’s just not going to be better than the system we have (flaws and all).
 
Hearing the rain on the roof of my new house tonight…. It’s glorious. It’s been rare of late. I’m grateful for it. I certainly don’t want to enter the hell of summer in GA with a drought/deficit.

May y’all get the snow of your dreams! If not this weekend, then soon after. I just pray I awake to no ice storm still showing.
 
PEA_RIDGE said:
06Z ICON COMING IN NOW AND ITS WOW DIFFERENT
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Well. Can’t put down the phone seeing that.

Also. Why do you type in all caps? I mean. It’s fine. Don’t change it (ever. You got a brand now!).

But is it cuz you’re salty AFDs stopped using? Or ya just don’t want to think about it? It became your default? All of the above?

I’m just genuinely curious. Maybe it’s cuz I write software? And have a general interest in how folks use tech? Please don’t read any disrespect in this curiosity.
 
atlwx said:
Well. Can’t put down the phone seeing that.

Also. Why do you type in all caps? I mean. It’s fine. Don’t change it (ever. You got a brand now!).

But is it cuz you’re salty AFDs stopped using? Or ya just don’t want to think about it? It became your default? All of the above?

I’m just genuinely curious. Maybe it’s cuz I write software? And have a general interest in how folks use tech? Please don’t read any disrespect in this curiosity.
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'chaos is hard'
I can't help lmao at this with this quote.
Carry on as you are!
 
NCPROGRAMMER said:
It just goes to show you that satellites and other tools are pretty good. Not always good enough but in most cases, they are.
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Or the they didn’t want to dropsonde people’s heads. In the middle of nowhere. But ok. Baja breeze is indeed sweet, terrible, and has no measurable impact on our sensible wx.
 
NCPROGRAMMER said:
It just goes to show you that satellites and other tools are pretty good. Not always good enough but in most cases, they are.
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Personally I never believed it would make a difference, I just really hoped it would. I can’t think of one time (maybe someone else can) that it truly made a significant difference.
 
BufordWX said:
View attachment 187396
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I’m trying to go to bed. Get some sleep. And now this southward expansion nonsense?!

No!

Fix this! I want nothing to do with no power, and being cold, bored, and with no internet.

Ok? Got it? Make this right, or I will be forced to demand to speak with your manager!
 
GFS actually trended slightly colder and south. At this point though, it won't change much. This is the solution. Sadly, we lost all the potential of a great snow storm in most of the south and replaced it with this mess. Yikes.
 
Snowflowxxl said:
Pretty embarrassing how we still have no idea what to prepare for in ATL
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Considering the GFS just pasted Atlanta with ZR in the 06z run and the NWS said there's a 1 out of 3 chance for 0.25"+ of ZR an hour ago, I don't know what you're waiting for? If you're not preparing for an ice storm, then you're not paying attention. Maybe God himself will reach down and draw you a picture?
 
Atlanta local Mets Facebook comments are a dumpster fire right now. The placement of the WSW has people thinking this is a dud and they prepared for a generational event for nothing
 
I am praying so hard right now! My God has to turn this around quickly. Praying for a current EURO and/or NAM solution or less amped storm although to cut down on totals. This is insane....
 
I’m too bummed to read the overnight discussion. Anyone want to give me a brief summary? My guess is that the models all trended towards what the euro was showing yesterday.
 
packfan98 said:
I’m too bummed to read the overnight discussion. Anyone want to give me a brief summary? My guess is that the models all trended towards what the euro was showing yesterday.
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NAM was similar with some funkiness at the end - as usual. GFS still hugging the NC north border with snow and making a huge sleet show in NC followed with a topping of 0.25"-0.5" of freezing rain.
It seems like the north trend has slowed. The GFS was ever so slightly southward in its extents for the 06z run. North GA and Atlanta still looking at big ZR but the jury is still out. Stay tuned.
 
HDGator said:
NAM was similar with some funkiness at the end - as usual. GFS still hugging the NC north border with snow and making a huge sleet show in NC followed with a topping of 0.25"-0.5" of freezing rain.
It seems like the north trend has slowed. The GFS was ever so slightly southward in its extents for the 06z run. North GA and Atlanta still looking at big ZR but the jury is still out. Stay tuned.
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Thank you.
 
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