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Misc General Banter Thread

FFC hasn’t issued an Ice Storm Warning for any part of their area since February 2014. I wonder if we might get one out of this system?
I would say it’s very probable. I think it’s extremely telling how the CMC came in line with the GFS and Icon. They will probably wait for tonight’s Euro as well as the morning guidance before issuing watches further south.
 
So we basically still have zero idea? Do we go Euro or GFS? Crazy we still cannot figure this out.

Nah, we pretty much Know

Along N/W I-85 - Snow - Sleet - Freezing Rain around 1-1.5” QPF Call it - 3-6” SN / Sleet and 1/4 to 1/2” ZR with temps Ranging 23-27 imo

Along and N/W I-40 - Mostly snow and sleet 1-1.5” QPF
6-10” Snow / Sleet an up to 1/4” ZR

VA - Mostly Snow / Some sleet at times 1” QPF
12-18” (Some lollipops of 20”)

Jmo


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FFC hasn’t issued an Ice Storm Warning for any part of their area since February 2014. I wonder if we might get one out of this system?
It is highly plausible for parts of NE GA to get these. The only way they wouldn't is if NWS issue regular winter storm warnings instead with the "heavy mixed precipitation" which includes snow/sleet accumulations and ice accumulations.
 
Congrats Florida
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Definitely a fun pattern! Losing a lot of sleep but oh well lol


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Yeah, I'm going to do my best to forget this exists for about 6 or so days (I won't). It's the perfect set-up for us again, which would be just so unlikely to play out 2 years in a row
 
Noticed the wedge never made it into ATL on the CMC...interesting...probably change at 06z..staying up for the Euro and off to bed I go!

Question: do we have a sample of the HP or the N/S stream energy?
 
Noticed the wedge never made it into ATL on the CMC...interesting...probably change at 06z..staying up for the Euro and off to bed I go!

Question: do we have a sample of the HP or the N/S stream energy?
I'm hoping you guys in Atlanta stay clean. I don't want to see all those videos on youtube of the cars stuck on 285 because they didn't know winter was here. They deserve peace.
 
Here comes the EURO
I’m lying in a Colorado hotel bed after an extremely long day of presenting to meteorologists and giving tv interviews and interacting with way more people that I’m used to interacting with. Barely able to stay awake. I have a flight in the AM back to Atlanta.

But here I am, constantly refreshing the model site awaiting yet another disappointing euro run. I don’t know why I do this to myself.
 
Brother, I have been really hoping that this bucket of qpf could be dumped on the snow end for us since the liquid end has appeared out of reach. It looks like we're heading towards a complete mess of 4-6" of sleet with a 0.5" ice on top. That's going to stick for a long time. I'm not looking forward to this one. It's looking worse every run.
 
Question: can the heavy band of rain cool off the mid levels to get more sleet than ZR in the heavier precip? Kind like when it rains with marginal cold and then you see a bright yellow return and sometimes sleet is mix in it?
 
Euro has basically no Ice for Atlanta and points South and West and Significant Icing in areas NE of the city. That's how a lot of Icing events play out historically so it wouldn't surprise me if that's what happens.
You are right...I seen where the ATL airport should not get ice but the wedge is so strong that we do.
 
In an earlier post l said that the GFS and Euro are coming closer in agreement. The GFS is slightly colder but it is barely holding on to the wedge.
 
I’m actually getting legit a little concerned how Monday ish is going to go. With no heat and temperatures potentially near zero, it isn’t a stretch to say this is a somewhat dangerous situation for many. It may not be dangeorus to me but this is looking like it may be exceedingly unpleasant.
 
I’m actually getting legit a little concerned how Monday ish is going to go. With no heat and temperatures potentially near zero, it isn’t a stretch to say this is a somewhat dangerous situation for many. It may not be dangeorus to me but this is looking like it may be exceedingly unpleasant.
If this plays out, it's catastrophic. Widespread power outages coupled with single digit temperatures in the south don't play nice. We're looking at extreme danger to lives. In my local retail looks this afternoon, anything associated with non-electric heating such as propane/kerosene is vacant off the shelves. The many that need it will be without and unprepared. I hope this isn't as bad as I'm seeing it play out.
 
Timing of any icing in Atlanta would most likely be after dark Saturday even with the GFS, right?

I know this place isn't for an official forecast, but want to make sure what I'm seeing on the models is what I think it is
 
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