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Misc General Banter Thread

KyloG said:
Those guys are geniuses…when BAM speaks we should listen.
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That guys a loser …. He will never be right again yet now people gonna worship his word off one lucky call. No skill at all, he took a guess and it worked. No credentials, no credibility nothing to support him prior to Tuesday


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TheWeatherDriver said:
So funny to me, everyone sees one wind shield wipe trend and then gets scared. It’s going to move south tn imo
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Idk how far south but yea…. Check the 4 run trend, EURO has had a less clean phase each time. Granted it’s not changing much but yea. None of them have a clue currently, truly will be a Hi-Res/HRRR type deal imo. Hell even nowcast to see how that CAD actually sets up. Gonna be VERY important to know your area and Climo…. The model is a numerical machine. I think we all know 18 degrees for the duration was insane. But a line from GA/SC Border all the way up through NW Wake has been and always will be the Dividing line. It has happened time and time again and always will. Know your climo


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TheWeatherDriver said:
So funny to me, everyone sees one wind shield wipe trend and then gets scared. It’s going to move south tn imo
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One trend? This has been going on for 24 hrs now and keeps going. Except on goofus. We aren't coming back from this. I hope we get nothing up here in the upstate now anyway.
 
RSG said:
One trend? This has been going on for 24 hrs now and keeps going. Except on goofus. We aren't coming back from this. I hope we get nothing up here in the upstate now anyway.
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You belong in this thread the euro isn’t the only model. It’s naive to think it’s 100% right with the northern trend. It’s not consistent, makes little sense with CAD erosion. Talk to me tomorrow and if you’re right I’ll shut up
 
I think the most likely case is that the GFS and Euro are both out to lunch to some degree, though the GFS is probably even further out to lunch than the Euro.

I'm probably not going to be in the low 30's with an icing event that rivals 2/12/14 and I'm probably also not going to be in the 60's by midday Sunday...I actually think my NWS is correct on what they're predicting high temp wise (mid 40's) and while I'm not going to look it up off the top of my head, I believe I've been in the 40's with icing events to my north, so that's still a potential major issue.

But this corridor and even parts of ATL to an extent...yikes at the backlash you're going to get. I heard a sports talk guy in ATL mention ice this evening, when it's likely not going to be a major deal.
 
SD said:
We have hit the models aren't handling cad correctly and a low can't run into a high phase at the same time. Soon we will be told to only trust the hires models (mind you the ones that had inches of snow here Sunday) then it'll be nowcasting time
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You’re right, so we should look at the NBM and assume a blend of these models is going to play out, not the two extremes
 
SD said:
We have hit the models aren't handling cad correctly and a low can't run into a high phase at the same time. Soon we will be told to only trust the hires models (mind you the ones that had inches of snow here Sunday) then it'll be "its nowcasting time".
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This is what we do....even when we don't believe it ourselves!
 
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rburrel2 said:
February 16, 2015. Even the hires models were 4-5 degrees too warm at the surface 24 hrs out. Literally no model had it cold enough in CAD regions.
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I remember that storm. Was only expecting to get a cold rain here and ended up with no power for 36 hours and tree branches snapping through the night. That might even be the last notable ice storm in my area that I was here for.
 
rburrel2 said:
February 16, 2015. Even the hires models were 4-5 degrees too warm at the surface 24 hrs out. Literally no model had it cold enough in CAD regions.
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You live in a different world than I do in Raleigh. It’s never happened but you are more west and in more prone to CAD influence right?
 
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