• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Misc General Banter Thread

GFS showing this as rain btw..not even a freezing rain
View attachment 186957

Hmmm. Keeping this in banter where it belongs. Not a met, but listening to the “professionals” here locally, (plus what I can see with my own eyes)…. this thing is trending to all rain for i20 near AGS possibly to near CAE.

It COULD come south and get us… but that’s not the trend as of now…. As I said


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
ALERT: SOUP IS NOW OUT OF STOCK AT WALMART. ITS HAPPENING!
Q9sCVhQ.jpeg
 
The problem is that you tell them it won’t snow now and then you get a Superstorm 93 repeat

Mother Nature loves trolling like that
The last time I said a storm was dead was January 10, 2025 and we got 2" with clear roads and it was just a beautiful snowy day. So maybe I should say something after all! 😂
 
ICON has a solid storm, the GFS had ice to rain, the CMC has rain from what I can tell, no UKmet update and waiting for the EURO for ATL?
 
Get ready for some oofs womps dohs and barfs. They're loading up as we speak!

I got all of mine out 18Z euro yesterday. It died to me then, when we went from an eastern trough, to a straight western trough and SE ridge.

What sucks is out West gets the Winter storm regardless of amp or not. Sure, it changes some from snow to ice but it just works out so much easier in the Western Deep & mid South lately. Dallas to Little Rock to Memphis to Nashville about to get another Winter storm with temperatures well below freezing. Been the same ole song & dance lately.

Western trough. The pattern we thought was great actually wasn't.
 
At the end of it all, you got to kick that shortwave (energy) dropping into the Northern Rockies out & hold back the Baja low if you are a Winter weather fan in the South.

We don't want them to become friends. If they do become friends, we want them to unite as far East as possible. The recon mission needs to go into the Baja low & tell him that the Montana shortwave is talkin about his Mama. Then hopefully it want have anything to do with him.
 
Mitch is right about this , I do think Mets whether justified or not will lose complete confidence of the public. I was at tire shop which a friend is the owner, about 10 people talking about how much snow we are getting , they all left. Owner said i know you keep up with this stuff whats your thoughts . Not good, I explained what was happening. He said business has been good, but people would be so mad after all the hype, even said no one would trust Mets again.

.
 
I just think that in the future, maybe TV Mets will be a little more hesitant before they lock into a forecast 4-5 days in advance. At 4-5 days, the weather forecast can still change even if the models are consistently showing the same thing. Speaking with such confidence about the weather 4-5 days before the storm is a little risky.
 
Yeah, that Ukie depiction surface wise makes SO much more sense for a CAD deal. I wouldn't be surprised if it was close to correct as well honestly as it largely shows a just miss on being below 32 around Clarks Hill Lake.

Good luck to my friends to my north, as you appear like you may need it. Still think I'm out of the game as things stand.
 
It’s just trending towards where the ai models are already at. These people who think a big ice storm isn’t coming are way off base
It really is wishful thinking.
Yeah, that Ukie depiction surface wise makes SO much more sense for a CAD deal. I wouldn't be surprised if it was close to correct as well honestly as it largely shows a just miss on being below 32 around Clarks Hill Lake.

Good luck to my friends to my north, as you appear like you may need it. Still think I'm out of the game as things stand.
I can tell you that out of all the medium range models the absolute worst in handling cad is the ukmet. It's always too warm and it always erodes it much too fast. I truly would not bet on it.
 
It really is wishful thinking.

I can tell you that out of all the medium range models the absolute worst in handling cad is the ukmet. It's always too warm and it always erodes it much too fast. I truly would not bet on it.

I'll admit I'm relying on vibes here, but what typically will occur is that I'll stay mid 30's while people an hour to my north are at or below freezing....
 
Hopium thoughts for the day:
*Cad under modeled
*New data ingest for a flatter soln
*Front end is rain to snow...cools column more than modeled
*Warm nose has a real hard time taking over so mostly snow Saturday before sleet takes over.
Have seen this happen for projected sleet storms...not this big tho
 
Back
Top