TigerSnow
Member
Time will tell. The next 12-18 hours will show us what happens. Do we trend further north and lower the ice threat imby or do we go back further south? I tend to think we go a little further north but who knows.
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Misc General Banter Thread
- Thread starter Rain Cold
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WFFaithful
Member
When we want it amped, it doesn't phase. When we want it flat, it amps.
Story of our lives!
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Nah
Think you likely have to favor amped and too warm outside of traditional CAD land.
billyweather
Member
I believe they said it would be in the 00z runs tonight.
we’re going to see some biblical ice stuff modeled on the nam. Pure panic will ensue
Snowflowxxl
Member
Yep gonna be a doozy
Snowflowxxl
Member
Still a chance
Thankfully we are putting that snowpack to the north the next storm will be ours
When they start going north it's over 99 out of 100, I got a better chance winning the lottery, back to back, then it coming back south.
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I'm looking forward to that 62 degrees here on Sunday!
Snowflowxxl
Member
Last years 1/10 storm trended north here and then came back south. Only time I’ve ever seen it happen. I was meting down like some are now
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Very low chance because only the worst model on the planet is showing it (looking at you GFS).
? Both euro and ai show ZR for atlanta
He's a wishcasting fool. I'm sorry. He had no way of knowing this piece of energy over MT was gonna appear and wreck this setup for us. He was wishcasting and got lucky. Which is smart I guess because if something can ruin it down south for us it will. So I guess he just was playing the odds.
Snowflowxxl
Member
The ICON had a huge ice storm. The euro still had some ice
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Yes, for the northern burbs. UHI will keep it out of the city itself.
rburrel2
Member
Atlanta is squarely in the crosshairs of a warning criteria ice storm.
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Icon is the second worst model, though.
Snowflowxxl
Member
You are just making stuff up. Based on verification scores there are models much worse than the GFS and ICON.
I’d prefer to have the euro on our side, but it has whiffed bad before. NE blizzard a couple years ago is missed horribly
HailCore
Member
Man I was hoping for a sleet storm here north of ATL and now I might be flirting with a cold rain?!?! There better be some better data on 12Z.
There is no way to know that right now. Plenty can change in the next day of runs.
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Yes, but out of the five non ai models that you can get on pivotal, which ones have the best verification scores? It's usually Euro, Ukie. CMC, Icon and then GFS, right?
UHI really applies more to radiational cooling at night than to daytime temperatures, especially with a cold air feed.
I responded in the IMBY thread (where this belongs) with a map, but at least at 6z, the majority of atlanta was inside the ZR range
Complete collapse like unc bball vs Kansas in the national championship game in 8 runs
sackjalding
Member
Interested to read Glenn Burns’ update which he said he will post soon. Ella Dorsey is already keeping the alert up for ice in Atl this AM.
I’m not super worried about UHI in Atl. It’s been very cold IMBY the past week at night and I’m in south Buckhead. Gonna be close!
I’m not super worried about UHI in Atl. It’s been very cold IMBY the past week at night and I’m in south Buckhead. Gonna be close!
Yes ice to rain though I think.
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
I'm hearing that a Winter Storm Watch may be issued for Atlanta later today. Why would they issue a Watch when it's going to rain ?
You got to chill out man it very fluid right now!
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It will be in the 50's Friday. I've driven through the Grady curve and it is always 5 degrees warmer unless under heavy cold air advection.
okey dokey. if atl is geographically in the wedge this will not be an issue.
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Yes, Atlanta north and east has ice risk. But the temps are marginal 31 or so, the rain is moderate, and the mid level temps are on fire. It's going to be hard for it to accumulate except on trees and metal railings and such.
Snowflowxxl
Member
I used to hate your trolling but now find it hilarious lmao
I think the key to Atlanta is are Temps 25-27 or 31-32. Gonna make a world of difference with the heavy precip.