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Misc General Banter Thread

Mitch West said:
Piedmont / Foothills / upstate is very due for a snowstorm. Snow trend to ice trend is going to throw them in a catastrophic depression... Kinda like the ice storm Columbia will get with 6 sleet pellets mixed in.
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This board is like the girl who's only had crappy dudes in her life the whole time and this storm is the first good guy she meets, of course there's gonna be hella trust issues :p.
 
I’ve just always hated sleet. That Jan 17 bust in Raleigh almost did me in, every ensemble member euro gfs cmc showed a foot plus for me and @Rain Cold in Raleigh and we got sleet all ******* day. Knowing the qpf would be historic snow and its sleet is worse than a cold rain for me.
 
Round Oak Weather said:
That pull back in freezing rain on the Euro for central GA is a big relief. Still a long way to go so hope the risk of ice downtrends for everyone
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Yeah that was still a big hit for me, but we finally found an Euro run that flips me to plain rain. 👀

The EPS probably does as well, but I'm not as certain with me using ehh maps.

If I can't have the sleetier solutions, then I'm sorry to say it to my friends to the north, but I'd like to be not involved, so it may mean we warm up to where people near the SC border sweat bullets.
 
Snowfan said:
Northern weenies may have a point about this trending NW
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One of three things will happen

  1. suppression city (baja stays offshore, high continues trending south)
  2. cutter, northeast gets smoked (baja phases early and tracks NE)
  3. snow/ice party in the deep south (baja is juuuuuussst right, cold tracks basically as it is now)
Too early to know which is behind door number one.
 
Wow not liking the warmer icier trends today at all. Was hoping the colder push from yesterday would continue but this may be the correction we talked about. Correction do to the interaction with Baja but still. Now people are pointing to Feb 14; that may have been the most disappointing storm ever for me. Was expected to be a big dog with mostly snow but the warm nose was stronger than modeled and it was a heartbreaker. I would much rather have a lower QPF storm with mostly snow over a higher QPF with sleet/zr. Not the trend I was hoping for.
 
Just give me 4 inches of snow, 2 inches of sleet, and glossy ZR+ on top and I'll be happy. Would be the best storm of the decade.

The historical winter storm hype may be a little overdone with the baja holding back. Ironically it seems its digging in the west and hiding more and NOT coming out, still causes heights to still rise in the east. The baja low kills us no matter what. I really do hate him.

I Hate Him Val Kilmer GIF
 
SnowNiner said:
Just give me 4 inches of snow, 2 inches of sleet, and glossy ZR+ on top and I'll be happy. Would be the best storm of the decade.

The historical winter storm hype may be a little overdone with the baja holding back. Ironically it seems its digging in the west and hiding more and NOT coming out, still causes heights to still rise in the east. The baja low kills us no matter what. I really do hate him.

I Hate Him Val Kilmer GIF
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IMG_7761.jpeg
 
This thing still has major potential to overproduce with the front band. Also, I remember we though we were going to get a major winter storm near Christmas a couple years back and Brad P was like “no a low pressure system isn’t going to just plow through a strong high”. And sure enough it didn’t. If this high pressure stays strong I don’t buy the super amped solutions


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Been at work on and off all trying to keep up but has anything trended different for Atlanta area or still mainly ice storm?
 
I just remember last January trying to will the storm north and west and thinking we’d get a huge shift and it didn’t happen. I’m confident this extremely strong high pressure is going to keep this thing where it is if not further south. We aren’t used to dealing with an airmass like this one.
 
jrips27 said:
I’m at work and wow people have no idea what’s coming. Trying to thread the line of making them panic with realizing that there’s still 3-4 days before it hits and things can change
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Yeah, I'm telling folks about a storm, but the whole historic OMG type deal I'm kinda downplaying. Who knows what this looks like tomorrow.
 
jrips27 said:
I’m at work and wow people have no idea what’s coming. Trying to thread the line of making them panic with realizing that there’s still 3-4 days before it hits and things can change
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Yeah I'm doing the same with my friends/family. I've just told them basically "nobody knows for certain -- but if the trends *don't* change and the model output is correct, this has the potential for historic devastation -- so anything you can do to prepare (especially if it's reversible/returnable) -- go ahead and do it now before it becomes a rush on stores".
 
SnowNiner said:
Yeah, I'm telling folks about a storm, but the whole historic OMG type deal I'm kinda downplaying. Who knows what this looks like tomorrow.
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Problem is if it's just a standard winter storm, there's not a *ton* of prep you need to do. Charge some flashlights maybe? Get your snow gear? It's the possibility in Atlanta of a week-long power outage that really trips me up and makes me feel like I have to uber-prep.... and make sure others are aware that's a possibility.
 
xshare said:
Yeah I'm doing the same with my friends/family. I've just told them basically "nobody knows for certain -- but if the trends *don't* change and the model output is correct, this has the potential for historic devastation -- so anything you can do to prepare (especially if it's reversible/returnable) -- go ahead and do it now before it becomes a rush on stores".
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I have a feeling the baja dries up considerably, so the crazy liquid amounts don't verify.
 
jrips27 said:
I’m at work and wow people have no idea what’s coming. Trying to thread the line of making them panic with realizing that there’s still 3-4 days before it hits and things can change
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Same. Currently doing some rescheduling
 
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
107 PM CST Tue Jan 20 2026

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-210900-
/O.NEW.KTSA.WS.A.0001.260123T1800Z-260125T1200Z/
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Crawford-Franklin-Sebastian-
Pushmataha-Choctaw-Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-
Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-
Cherokee-Adair-Muskogee-McIntosh-Sequoyah-Pittsburg-Haskell-
Latimer-Le Flore-
Including the cities of Pawhuska, Grove, Poteau, Van Buren,
Eureka Springs, Pryor, Huntsville, Fort Smith, Stigler, Ozark,
Miami, Fayetteville, Sallisaw, Hugo, Muskogee, Nowata,
Charleston, Stilwell, Rogers, Clayton, Pawnee, Tulsa, Okmulgee,
McAlester, Wagoner, Vinita, Bartlesville, Berryville, Wilburton,
Springdale, Sapulpa, Claremore, Tahlequah, Jay, Okemah, Antlers,
Checotah, and Bentonville
107 PM CST Tue Jan 20 2026

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Heavy winter precipitation possible beginning Friday. Total
snow accumulations of 4 or more inches are likely across portions
of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. A glaze of ice up to
two tenths of an inch will be possible near the Red River along
with accumulating sleet and snow. Winds could also gust near 35
mph during the day Friday. In addition to the precipitation,
dangerously cold temperatures and wind chills are expected from
Friday evening through Sunday morning.

* WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Arkansas and east
central, northeast, and southeast Oklahoma.

* WHEN...From Friday afternoon through late Saturday night.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions
could impact the Friday evening commute and travel through the
weekend.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

&&

$$

MAB
 
My forecast. Would LOVE this, even with a mix. Nice front end thump, then mix it. But I know this will certainly change to likely less snow.

1768936445297.png
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
🇨🇦 before Gulf Coast Blizzard

View attachment 186421
🇨🇦 todayView attachment 186422

same timestamp

And dealing with a lot of similar features 🍿
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Yep, for now I'm still inclined to believe that it's out to lunch. The way the thermals shifted today in the model I trust more in the Euro was a little alarming, but that was just so bad of a fail last year from ole' Canada.

Plus it's shifted south some now too and gives me ZR.
 
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