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Misc General Banter Thread

i20 corridor from Augusta to Columbia either gets the ice storm of the decade for the Carolinas.... or cold rain... Somehow, this is ALWAYS the line in SC..... We get a winter storm or nothing at all... May be a hot take (because I know from experience how awful ice can be)... but I think @Mitch West and I would take the Ice over the cold rain at this point so we can actually say we participated in winter this year. ha
 
With the last system people were Trash Talking the GFS saying it was a horrible model. And now people wanna Hug the GFS and pretend that it's right ?
After seeing the ice accrual totals on most of the other models, the GFS is my new best friend and the only hope I have of staying out of the next Ice Age. Please be right about this storm GFS!
 
Man I just hate the wish-casting.. As much as I want this to work out. It's not really a great look, I've looked at 2021 analogs and it is eerily similar. Could I be wrong? Maybe, but I really just don't like the looks rn. An amped up baja can cut through a strong high in some cases.
What are you even talking about lol
 
Any chance of Gulf Coast robbing convection with the weekend setup? That seems to historically be the last ditch bad luck outcome when everything else with the setup is perfect
this is a weird boogeyman that idk if i've ever actually seen happen
 
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I feel like we get these type of storms all the time on the models and we end up with zilch or a dusting in my area of NC (north of Charlotte).
Someone tell me why this time will be different. Have we not seen signals like this before, at this time frame? I think that we would have to before.
 
I wonder if this is anything like the setup of the Feb 2014 ice storm that crippled much of South Carolina and Georgia (while places north got snow)... Curious to get @bouncycorn, @Ross, @Webberweather53 opinion on this.... and if it looks like the i20 corridor from Augusta to Columbia should be safe (get the cold rain).... or expect a very similar outcome to 2014...
 
I wonder if this is anything like the setup of the Feb 2014 ice storm that crippled much of South Carolina and Georgia (while places north got snow)... Curious to get @bouncycorn, @Ross, @Webberweather53 opinion on this.... and if it looks like the i20 corridor from Augusta to Columbia should be safe (get the cold rain).... or expect a very similar outcome to 2014...
In Aiken, SC, I got 1.75 inches of ice on the trees if I recall... It remained cold for SEVERAL days following the event, and our power was out for 10 days.
 
In Aiken, SC, I got 1.75 inches of ice on the trees if I recall... It remained cold for SEVERAL days following the event, and our power was out for 10 days.
The town looked like a war zone and a state of emergency was declared.... Worst damage we'd ever seen... until Helene... which had similar effects here in our region.
 
Any chance of Gulf Coast robbing convection with the weekend setup? That seems to historically be the last ditch bad luck outcome when everything else with the setup is perfect

One of the reasons I can’t enjoy the January 2011 storm like everyone else, got a nasty dry slot with onset sleet and freezing drizzle
 
I wonder if this is anything like the setup of the Feb 2014 ice storm that crippled much of South Carolina and Georgia (while places north got snow)... Curious to get @bouncycorn, @Ross, @Webberweather53 opinion on this.... and if it looks like the i20 corridor from Augusta to Columbia should be safe (get the cold rain).... or expect a very similar outcome to 2014...
i was a smug and stupid college freshman when this storm happened so i can't recall all the synoptics. but i do remember a supercad that pushed the ice line south some. wilmington got unexpectedly crippled with a half inch of ice. while there's a limit i think the cad bias is still very real and the ice line may verify south of the last call forecast consensus
 
As interesting as my dad's blog post was on 2/12/14 and hearing about the experiences of it (I luckily was not in the area), if you had to ask me if I was interested in experiencing a 2/12/14, my answer to that question is honestly, no.

It'll be tough, but I'd honestly be tempted to make travel plans if this is not looking good...
 
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