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I'm going with the Ukie for the weekend storm. Much more of a tornado threat than an ice storm.
After seeing the ice accrual totals on most of the other models, the GFS is my new best friend and the only hope I have of staying out of the next Ice Age. Please be right about this storm GFS!With the last system people were Trash Talking the GFS saying it was a horrible model. And now people wanna Hug the GFS and pretend that it's right ?
What are you even talking about lolMan I just hate the wish-casting.. As much as I want this to work out. It's not really a great look, I've looked at 2021 analogs and it is eerily similar. Could I be wrong? Maybe, but I really just don't like the looks rn. An amped up baja can cut through a strong high in some cases.
I’m not sure if you’re being sarcastic or not. But Snow in Florida has become pretty common.Snow in Florida. This is likely to happen. View attachment 185669
Congrats @LukeBarrette
Somebody might have to rough talk this storm too.There's going to be some rough "analysis" here the next few days.
this is a weird boogeyman that idk if i've ever actually seen happenAny chance of Gulf Coast robbing convection with the weekend setup? That seems to historically be the last ditch bad luck outcome when everything else with the setup is perfect
We may cover all of the buzzwords/phrases by WednesdayThis is the type of event WxSouth back in the day used to describe as roof collapsing, power destroying, mass destruction $$$$$
88, 93, 96, 00, 02…At some point an honest conversation needs to be had around here regarding who has actually lived through a high impact winter storm.
They usually are when a storm is comingEuros are late lol
BruhCongrats @LukeBarrette
In Aiken, SC, I got 1.75 inches of ice on the trees if I recall... It remained cold for SEVERAL days following the event, and our power was out for 10 days.I wonder if this is anything like the setup of the Feb 2014 ice storm that crippled much of South Carolina and Georgia (while places north got snow)... Curious to get @bouncycorn, @Ross, @Webberweather53 opinion on this.... and if it looks like the i20 corridor from Augusta to Columbia should be safe (get the cold rain).... or expect a very similar outcome to 2014...
View attachment 185638
Can’t wait to see this X/twitter here shortly. “North trend is happening”
At least we have a good amount of time this week for the skies to heal.We may cover all of the buzzwords/phrases by Wednesday
naturally. any other time it wouldn't be.Euros are late lol
The town looked like a war zone and a state of emergency was declared.... Worst damage we'd ever seen... until Helene... which had similar effects here in our region.In Aiken, SC, I got 1.75 inches of ice on the trees if I recall... It remained cold for SEVERAL days following the event, and our power was out for 10 days.
You have seen more snow the last 2 years than I have in the last decade let me jinx youBruh
Any chance of Gulf Coast robbing convection with the weekend setup? That seems to historically be the last ditch bad luck outcome when everything else with the setup is perfect
You can’t even jinx him. Look at the eps mean for himYou have seen more snow the last 2 years than I have in the last decade let me jinx you
i was a smug and stupid college freshman when this storm happened so i can't recall all the synoptics. but i do remember a supercad that pushed the ice line south some. wilmington got unexpectedly crippled with a half inch of ice. while there's a limit i think the cad bias is still very real and the ice line may verify south of the last call forecast consensusI wonder if this is anything like the setup of the Feb 2014 ice storm that crippled much of South Carolina and Georgia (while places north got snow)... Curious to get @bouncycorn, @Ross, @Webberweather53 opinion on this.... and if it looks like the i20 corridor from Augusta to Columbia should be safe (get the cold rain).... or expect a very similar outcome to 2014...
I couldn't live my life feeling that kind of successYou can’t even jinx him. Look at the eps mean for him
Was being serious. Tallahassee is the new Roxboro.I’m not sure if you’re being sarcastic or not. But Snow in Florida has become pretty common.
Some had snow some had ice some had rain. You're welcome, now you don't have to waitI’m just waiting on Webber and Bouncycorn to analyze these 12z runs. Ready for some of those badass maps.
I remember going over there for work a few days afterwards and the tree damage was off the charts. Looked like a hurricane went through but different.In Aiken, SC, I got 1.75 inches of ice on the trees if I recall... It remained cold for SEVERAL days following the event, and our power was out for 10 days.