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Misc General Banter Thread

Man it’s so unfortunate that the NAM has to be such a horrible model. When we have a true snow chance it’s always the first to pick up on the warm nose and ends up being correct. Of course this time it couldn’t be correct cause it was the coldest snowiest model


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Anyone in GA (Atlanta-Athens corridor) not thrown in the towel. January Joke is no joke!!
No way.

I'm sitting here with a satellite loop tab, a regional radar tab, Wunderground for upstream obs, Southern Wx, a playoff game on the big screen, and an ice-cold Blue Moon going. Oh, and my 6-year-old grandson is sleeping over, and if things perk up, I'll tell him it will soon snow and will sit out on the porch with a cup of coffee to sober up.
 
Greg Fishel's thoughts.

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THIS IS A TOUGH ONE!

Latest numerical weather model guidance is indicating the possibility of heavier precip tomorrow, which in turn means greater potential for cooling due to the melting process, and that in turn raises the probability of accumulating snow. I’d be lying to you if I told you I had this one pegged from the beginning. I didn’t, and my feeling now is that this event will turn into a nowcast. In other words, constant monitoring of incoming data as the event unfolds. This is called a nowcast, not a forecast! Stay tuned!
 
I didn’t realize the AIFS is right there at day 7, and the ens is pinging hard for the day 7-8 event View attachment 184788View attachment 184789View attachment 184790

I feel like this modeled 10 days is some type of cruel joke on us. Just waiting on each cycle to take it all away, seeing it was just a weenie dream. 🛌

First is a great threat on its own, and the second is generational.

Tomorrow’s gutter runner is keeping everyone from focusing on the gloriousness. 😊
 
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I’m out and about …. What was I supposed to be at 9PM ? Like 46?


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Well, now the NAM is back as I had given in, and I was like "I may head west to make it to where I can see snow" lmao.

If I can actually get going, I'm just headed towards Dearing/Thomson probably and then will circle back before lunchtime. I'm just beyond done with having seen about 10000000 models where the cold stalls out close to me. Maybe temps will play nice and allow me to abort on this entirely, if it's freezing outside, it'll be riskier for me to do this.
 
Dude I just did the exact same gif and was coming here to post it, Lol! I don't expect these accumulations of course, but gonna be a pretty massive failure by all short range models if we don't see this end with a changeover to snow
I think ill be moving from models to just waiting and watching the mesoanalysis/radar
 
I feel so much more at ease this evening. Other than skimming over clown graphics posted here, I ceased model dissecting at 12Z.

Satellite, radar, and upstream obs. Old school for the balance of this system for me.
 
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