Drizzle Snizzle
Member
You can't go against History. And History says there's no chance areas that far south get snow in Consecutive years.
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Misc General Banter Thread
- Thread starter Rain Cold
- Start date
BrickTamland
Member
Feel like this is evolving just like the storm in January of last year. Tomorrow the Euro will probably be in step with the GFS.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
I'll take a 30-50ish mile shift north by that 18z Euro run and be quite happy. Don't want another December 2017 here.
It definitely feels weird that this potential deal is only a couple days away.
It definitely feels weird that this potential deal is only a couple days away.
SegTindo
Member
I wouldn’t say it’s a 0 chance it won’t happen just I don’t see it happening
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Drizzle Snizzle
Member
The odds are astronomically low from a historical perspective.
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
Is the NAM at all reliable 3+ days out ?
WolfpackHomer91
Member
Agreed Snizzle …. It’s like Betting a +30.5 Underdog on the moneyline ….. you might hit that Once or twice in a career. But to go back to back would be insanity.
Right now I’d go -
I85 Corridor - Dusting - 2” (-115)
- 2-4” (+250)
- 4-6” (+500)
I-95 Corridor - Dusting -2” (-125)
- 2-4” (+175)
- 4-6” (+400) (Higher Ceiling, But lower floor too imo than 85 bc mixing if it gets to this range)
I-20 and Below - Dusting -2” (-150)
- 2-4” (+200)
- 4-6” (+750) (Historical Data playing into this line)
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SegTindo
Member
Sometimes the odds can be beat but that’s just hopeful wishing
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Yes, yes it is! You've been posting for a hundred years on these boards and you know that the long range NAM is one of our very BEST models.
JHS
Member
That December 2017 storm did me no favors either, way up here around 100 miles north of Augusta. Not 1 flake out of it. Maybe a longer lasting repeat of the 2nd storm in 2022 would nail both of us good.
I moved here in the summer of 2010. That first winter was awesome, but not good for setting realistic expectations about snow here.
SimeonNC
Member
I'm going to go out on a limb and say that it'll at least be cloudy Sunday across the NC and SC.
Reel it in night crew.
One of my buddies moved up to hazel green with his wife’s family and they have had some nice events the last several years.
SnowNiner
Member
Well, Webb throwing warm water on this threat. Valid point we have no high to the north and lake lows up top. Watch it amp up with an inch of qpf and be 34 and rain.
Maybe time to keep looking to the next week or two for the piedmont. More blocking, more high pressure coming into the conus. Better classic pattern.
Maybe time to keep looking to the next week or two for the piedmont. More blocking, more high pressure coming into the conus. Better classic pattern.
WolfpackHomer91
Member
Still, let’s take our chances in our area with more QPF maybe it works or doesn’t idc
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The plumes are back…
Heading to Disney World with the fam during the event, hate I’m going to miss it. Reel it in fellas!
Heading to Disney World with the fam during the event, hate I’m going to miss it. Reel it in fellas!
BrickTamland
Member
Thoughts and prayers.
SnowNiner
Member
Isn’t the NAM still related to the GFS family? I guess it may be expected to have a similar solution.
Bigedd09
Member
Bigedd09
Member
I’ve been hearing that the NAM is always too dry in the long range. That’s def not similar to gfs lol
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Tsappfrog20
Member
Verizon finally fixed its problem!
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Flo
Member
Just in time for late night runs
BrickTamland
Member
NAM was a other positive run.
That NAM run looked just fine to me, not to mention it’s the 84 hour surface reflectivity. Thankful for fro posting the other images
WxBlue
Meteorologist
Welp, guess it's time for me to make my once-a-year appearance to track something with y'all.
Snowking2.0
Member
Well i moved here to hazel green last year so i’m hoping to see something this year
They’re very low but not astronomically low. That’s because last year’s actual storm and this year’s threat are essentially independent of each other. But with NW trend, the S GA snow could easily end up being fiction/model imagination.
Snowflowxxl
Member
Back in college I used to be able to stay up till the 6z GFS ran. Now I fall asleep before 0z smh!
As much as I love the thrashers and want them back, you should go back to Glen Burns.
It’s low at around 2100’, plus it’s shielded by some of the highest peaks. Maggie Valley if you have to be in the western mountains, but the answer is always Avery or Watauga counties in NC.
Snowflowxxl
Member
Good call. The legend returns to bring the positive mojo
broken025
Member
I surrender. It’s gonna rain or be cold and dry.
WolfpackHomer91
Member
Better enjoy tonight…. This was a test, lights go out for good sometimes next week. We better enjoy this weekend bc this time next week we will be fighting in the streets over canned beans if you watch the news
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Could be AI, who knows anymore! But awesome pic anyway
BrickTamland
Member
RGEM looks like a west of 95 storm for snow in NC.
BrickTamland
Member
LongRanger
Member
WTH you talking about??