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Misc General Banter Thread

SegTindo said:
I mean there’s still like 3-4 days left so anything can happen I just don’t see a back to back for areas that got it last year but hey I’ve crazier things happen before so anything is possible just don’t get your hopes up


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You can't go against History. And History says there's no chance areas that far south get snow in Consecutive years.
 
I'll take a 30-50ish mile shift north by that 18z Euro run and be quite happy. Don't want another December 2017 here.

It definitely feels weird that this potential deal is only a couple days away.
 
Drizzle Snizzle said:
The odds are astronomically low from a historical perspective.
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Agreed Snizzle …. It’s like Betting a +30.5 Underdog on the moneyline ….. you might hit that Once or twice in a career. But to go back to back would be insanity.

Right now I’d go -

I85 Corridor - Dusting - 2” (-115)
- 2-4” (+250)
- 4-6” (+500)


I-95 Corridor - Dusting -2” (-125)
- 2-4” (+175)
- 4-6” (+400) (Higher Ceiling, But lower floor too imo than 85 bc mixing if it gets to this range)


I-20 and Below - Dusting -2” (-150)
- 2-4” (+200)
- 4-6” (+750) (Historical Data playing into this line)


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GeorgiaGirl said:
I'll take a 30-50ish mile shift north by that 18z Euro run and be quite happy. Don't want another December 2017 here.

It definitely feels weird that this potential deal is only a couple days away.
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That December 2017 storm did me no favors either, way up here around 100 miles north of Augusta. Not 1 flake out of it. Maybe a longer lasting repeat of the 2nd storm in 2022 would nail both of us good.
 
crecre9 said:
I moved here in the summer of 2010. That first winter was awesome, but not good for setting realistic expectations about snow here.
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One of my buddies moved up to hazel green with his wife’s family and they have had some nice events the last several years.
 
Well, Webb throwing warm water on this threat. Valid point we have no high to the north and lake lows up top. Watch it amp up with an inch of qpf and be 34 and rain.

Maybe time to keep looking to the next week or two for the piedmont. More blocking, more high pressure coming into the conus. Better classic pattern.
 
SnowNiner said:
Well, Webb throwing warm water on this threat. Valid point we have no high to the north and lake lows up top. Watch it amp up with an inch of qpf and be 34 and rain.

Maybe time to keep looking to the next week or two for the piedmont. More blocking, more high pressure coming into the conus. Better classic pattern.
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Still, let’s take our chances in our area with more QPF maybe it works or doesn’t idc


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That NAM run looked just fine to me, not to mention it’s the 84 hour surface reflectivity. Thankful for fro posting the other images
 
Welp, guess it's time for me to make my once-a-year appearance to track something with y'all.
 
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