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Misc General Banter Thread

I don’t feel pain anymore. I watched orange beach get a foot of snow last year and fully convinced myself there was no way it would stay suppressed to the south. Pretty sure I told NickyB I’d do something really stupid if it did what it actually did 😂


My ass will have snow this weekend, whether that be in my own yard or in a cozy cabin is TBD.
 
SnowNiner said:
1. I don't even know why this looks good. Look at the positive tilt on it. I'm assuming it's showing a storm, but just at 5h it looks like a whiff to me.
2. Why do we keep doing this to ourselves with the GFS? It really really stinks.
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i think when a model has that sharp a trough at that location and it's somewhat reasonable given what other models show then you are obligated to pay it modest attention. even with that tilt there was snow in georgia.
 
Whose doing the Euro play-by-play? I'm not confident with the vort maps because of the weird setup. Just when I think they look better or worse, the surface will reflect something different. I can post the crap out of the snow maps though...
 
SD said:
I'm uncharacteristically enthused about the next 45 days
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Once the STJ wakes up a little bit, we'll be ready to roll. My fear for the winter was that we may have an abrupt change in early Jan to a pattern that sent the cold across the globe. Thankfully, that didn't happen. And much like last year, we've seen an uncharacteristic tendency to build up big cold in Canda and send it down here from time to time.

We're going to hit on one of these chances soon.
 
Parker said:
I don’t feel pain anymore. I watched orange beach get a foot of snow last year and fully convinced myself there was no way it would stay suppressed to the south. Pretty sure I told NickyB I’d do something really stupid if it did what it actually did 😂


My ass will have snow this weekend, whether that be in my own yard or in a cozy cabin is TBD.
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I love the cabin idea, but I can't make the trip just for some bird fart flurries from Northern energy. If I am going to drive up there friday afternoon, it's got to at least be a lock for 2-4 inches of snow through the weekend.
 
Mitch West said:
I love the cabin idea, but I can't make the trip just for some bird fart flurries from Northern energy. If I am going to drive up there friday afternoon, it's got to at least be a lock for 2-4 inches of snow through the weekend.
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100% agree. The gefs and eps are pretty bullish up there this weekend, so watching carefully. I honestly feel good about my chances here.
 
NBAcentel said:
At least you did hit on a few this December, Charlotte-aville-GSP is in shambles. Generational snow drought, and drought in general
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Yeah got real lucky there. Sometimes the wave timing just works! This pattern starting in a few days has some of the worst timing I have seen in my time tracking
 
NBAcentel said:
I mean we are gonna see wildfires pop up in the mountains at this rate because Logan Elliot forgot to put out his campfire ! This is terrible. Cue the snow we need rain really bad View attachment 182728View attachment 182729
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EPS is quite clear there will be no storm in the SE this weekend east of Apps, so dry. Snowshoe wins again though. The NW flow machine continues to do work.

I'm starting to think our best chance for a winter storm is to get a bit of a SE ridge...get a cutter, and wedge it to death for an ice storm. This eastern trough patterns tough.

1768242597495.png
 
I feel like the climate has changed to the point where it's just too difficult for GSP through Charlotte to get measurable snow anymore.

We're not west enough to benefit from cold chasing moisture and similar set ups that have TN, MS, AL, AR, and even Louisiana benefit from it, we're too far south to benefit from setups that give the I-40 region of NC points north snow and we're too far west to benefit from late-blooming coastals that give Eastern NC/VA snow.

When we do have the cold, moisture becomes an issue as the type of cold air we need to get snow down here comes from dry arctic fronts/blasts.

When we have the moisture, temps are the issue, because it always is. Snow and winter storms in these parts require the rare balance where we have just enough cold and just enough moisture for things to work out and I just think things have changed to the point where that balance is just too hard to achieve for the I-85 corridor.

Like if we had the upcoming pattern ten or so years ago, we probably would've had a 200 page plus thread by now.
 
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SimeonNC said:
I feel like the climate has changed to the point where it's just too difficult for places such as Atlanta through GSP through Charlotte to get measurable snow anymore.

We're not west enough to benefit from cold chasing moisture and similar set ups that have TN, MS, AL, AR, and even Louisiana benefit from it, we're too far south to benefit from setups that give the I-40 region of NC points north snow and we're too far west to benefit from late-blooming coastals that give Eastern NC/VA snow.

When we do have the cold, moisture becomes an issue as the type of cold air we need to get snow down here comes from dry arctic fronts/blasts.

When we have the moisture, temps are the issue, because it always is. Snow and winter storms in these parts require the rare balance where we have just enough cold and just enough moisture for things to work out and I just think things have changed to the point where that balance is just too hard to achieve for the I-85 corridor.

Like if we had the upcoming pattern ten or so years ago, we probably would've had a 200 page plus thread by now.
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You realize the Atlanta area had up to 5" of snow last winter right ? The last 8 years have been great for Snow Lovers in Georgia. Beginning in December 2017.
 
Makes me realize how vintage 2022 was, we keep screwing setups up yet managed to lay snow down 3 weekends in a row. 2022 really was a throwback. Might not have been the biggest storms, but that January holds a place in my mind forever. It was a month full of fun tracking
 
SimeonNC said:
I feel like the climate has changed to the point where it's just too difficult for places such as Atlanta through GSP through Charlotte to get measurable snow anymore.

We're not west enough to benefit from cold chasing moisture and similar set ups that have TN, MS, AL, AR, and even Louisiana benefit from it, we're too far south to benefit from setups that give the I-40 region of NC points north snow and we're too far west to benefit from late-blooming coastals that give Eastern NC/VA snow.

When we do have the cold, moisture becomes an issue as the type of cold air we need to get snow down here comes from dry arctic fronts/blasts.

When we have the moisture, temps are the issue, because it always is. Snow and winter storms in these parts require the rare balance where we have just enough cold and just enough moisture for things to work out and I just think things have changed to the point where that balance is just too hard to achieve for the I-85 corridor.

Like if we had the upcoming pattern ten or so years ago, we probably would've had a 200 page plus thread by now.
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Atlanta had more snow than me last year and I'm further north. If they get measurable snow this year it will be 3 years in a row I believe.
 
SimeonNC said:
I feel like the climate has changed to the point where it's just too difficult for GSP through Charlotte to get measurable snow anymore.

We're not west enough to benefit from cold chasing moisture and similar set ups that have TN, MS, AL, AR, and even Louisiana benefit from it, we're too far south to benefit from setups that give the I-40 region of NC points north snow and we're too far west to benefit from late-blooming coastals that give Eastern NC/VA snow.

When we do have the cold, moisture becomes an issue as the type of cold air we need to get snow down here comes from dry arctic fronts/blasts.

When we have the moisture, temps are the issue, because it always is. Snow and winter storms in these parts require the rare balance where we have just enough cold and just enough moisture for things to work out and I just think things have changed to the point where that balance is just too hard to achieve for the I-85 corridor.

Like if we had the upcoming pattern ten or so years ago, we probably would've had a 200 page plus thread by now.
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NOAA_SnowfallRecordsBroken_DeepSouthSnowstorm_2025-01-21-2025-01-25_ClimateDotGov.png
 
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