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Misc General Banter Thread

Nerman said:
OK weather degens, Robinhood now has a predictions market for the weather. That means you can literally bet on the weather. They've got things like the high temperature of the day, rainfall in a month, snowfall in a month, number of hurricanes, etc.

This probably deserves it's own thread to discuss.
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For those who don’t know, betting on the wx via wx futures goes back to the late 1990s. The CME introduced them in 1999 with futures contracts for monthly HDDs and CDDs for major US cities. But the markets were so thinly traded that the bid/ask spreads were very wide thus making it tough to make a profit even if one had the right bet on a city’s temperatures.

Since then many new wx markets have been created with them more suitable for everyday speculators.
 
Nerman said:
OK weather degens, Robinhood now has a predictions market for the weather. That means you can literally bet on the weather. They've got things like the high temperature of the day, rainfall in a month, snowfall in a month, number of hurricanes, etc.

This probably deserves it's own thread to discuss.
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I screwed around with this on Kalshi a few years ago, but RH is a lot easier to use. Now I’m tempted. 😂
 
SimeonNC said:
Unpopular opinion, cold rain > torch
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Cold and sunny is much better than cold rain. Related to this, an average of <1% of my area’s total normal winter precip. has been wintry (liquid equiv.) going back to 1950 (estimated at .07”/year with most years having no measurable meaning median is 0.00”). So, I get way more cold rain (mainly 40s but occasionally 30s) than wintry precip. Atlanta’s at ~3% wintry precip vs total normal during winter.
 
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already kicking the can to "the next threat"

weather models are awesome. we went from rain all day here to the sun coming out soon; haha. they aren't even accurate within hours, yet they are relied on at hour 192+ for winter forecasts if they show the blue and pink colors
 
I feel like we’ve seen better fantasy runs with worse players on the table. Surely we start to see some bangers soon. #dec7
 
Stevo24 said:
I feel like we’ve seen better fantasy runs with worse players on the table. Surely we start to see some bangers soon. #dec7
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at least we could see some warmer weather from the 12th or so, via the gfs and euro. euro ai, if one were to believe them
these models tend to be right when they aren't predicting cold and snow
🥳
 
weather nerd said:
at least we could see some warmer weather from the 12th or so, via the gfs and euro. euro ai, if one were to believe them
these models tend to be right when they aren't predicting cold and snow
🥳
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Well, I'm confident models are kinda/sorta wrong (again) with the SE ridge popping up so quick mid month. Therefore I doubt we torch, and think we probably stay cool. But I admit I'm still pattern chasing, hoping for better ridging out west. Until then IMO Carolina piedmont gets nuisance glazes at best.
 
Nerman said:
OK weather degens, Robinhood now has a predictions market for the weather. That means you can literally bet on the weather. They've got things like the high temperature of the day, rainfall in a month, snowfall in a month, number of hurricanes, etc.

This probably deserves it's own thread to discuss.
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We bout to have a bunch of poor weather weenies up in here
 
Stevo24 said:
If it starts suddenly snowing and having good winters around here you know the government control's the weather.
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i think snow lovers would be much happier if they just moved from the south

look @Tarheel1 , he's much happier and gets snow now. be like mack. chase less fake storms on models.

this whole idea is what has created my pessimism at almost any event. 9/10 times, it will not snow, so what's the point in getting excited and losing sleep over models that can't even get the temperature right short range. people dislike my pessimism, but it's so much easier than trying to always get hyped until disappointment sets in.

think about it, even during events that are unfolding, 9/10 of those events are lead with transition lines and ptype issues the whole time. it's miserable staring at a melting layer hoping to eventually change over, just to see zr or sleet instead
 
it took me years to accept the fact that for snow here, i need a stalled out arctic boundary (that's already come through) that a weak to moderate strength low can ride along. it cant come much inland, and i need a banana high providing a nice cold air supply

everything else is just a mixed mess, bad tracks bringing too much warm air advection for snow vs ip/zr.

generally nc doesn't do nearly as well in these scenarios (suppression) for my area to get snow, so when i see nc having a high chance at a good event, i usually move on to the next instead
 
Whatever happened to Storm5? Isn’t he a Admin? Plus whatever happen to Brick? Did he get upset with everyone using his avatar or something?
 
Hello pals! It's been a while since I posted. My Mother passed away on Nov. 1 due to a massive stroke so I've been dealing with that. I put in my papers to retire effective Jan. 1st after 28+ years as a civil servant. Been a little distracted but hope to contribute more going forward. Glad to be back.
 
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Drizzle Snizzle said:
I promise that I will never come here again if I don’t see a snowflake by January 31st !
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Austin Powers Doctor Evil GIF
 
weather nerd said:
i think snow lovers would be much happier if they just moved from the south

look @Tarheel1 , he's much happier and gets snow now. be like mack. chase less fake storms on models.

this whole idea is what has created my pessimism at almost any event. 9/10 times, it will not snow, so what's the point in getting excited and losing sleep over models that can't even get the temperature right short range. people dislike my pessimism, but it's so much easier than trying to always get hyped until disappointment sets in.

think about it, even during events that are unfolding, 9/10 of those events are lead with transition lines and ptype issues the whole time. it's miserable staring at a melting layer hoping to eventually change over, just to see zr or sleet instead
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Lol no he's not! He complains all the time, still. Dude gets a hundred inches and disappearing deck chairs and is like, "Forecast sucks, they only give me 100" and not the 150 they said yesterday!" 😂 😂 😂 😂
 
Rain Cold said:
Lol no he's not! He complains all the time, still. Dude gets a hundred inches and disappearing deck chairs and is like, "Forecast sucks, they only give me 100" and not the 150 they said yesterday!" 😂 😂 😂 😂
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Yeah but it's gotta be better nitpicking the amount of snow versus if it even will snow at all or not
 
Brick is here on like 19 different accounts. You'll see soon enough when he starts talking to himself between the accounts

Last year he posted from a positive snow weenie account so he could fight with himself from his main account about it not working out

It was a sight to see

Anyways, yeah he will be back soonish. He's helping brad p secure funding for his hair dye first
 
Has any meteorologist on here filled out the access form to the Google WeatherNext 2 data? I have a BigQuery login and requested access but a meteorologist would have a better chance I would imagine.
deepmind.google

WeatherNext 2

WeatherNext 2 is our most accurate AI weather forecasting technology.
deepmind.google deepmind.google
 
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