Misc General Banter Thread

[Tarheel1]

This is quickly turning into a::
Duck devastater
Corolla cruncher
Manteo mauler
Avon annihilater
Wilmington wiper
Norfolk Nuke

 

[broken025]

 

[SD]

I'm getting namd 12k style

 

[NCPROGRAMMER]

3k NAM may be having convection feedback issues. I have seen this during hurricane season. It tends to have issues tracking tropical systems, this transfer may be a granular issue. Who knows though. 12k is at a higher level and not so far into the weeds.

 

[SD]

Lol the 12k nam is a foot plus the 3k is this

 

[NCwx1992]

the models are all getting drunk for the nighttime runs because the lack of consensus is cracking me up

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

This is quickly turning into a::
Duck devastater
Corolla cruncher
Manteo mauler
Avon annihilater
Wilmington wiper
Norfolk NukeView attachment 191496

I told my paw in law we should go ride it out at his cottage in KDH. He said no thank you. 70mph winds. He expects a house or two to fall into the ocean Sunday

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

Man, the 12k NAM would tick me off so bad for my intents and purposes (I could also probably just go south, but I'd be conflicted because again...freezing temps post lunchtime, haven't had to drive if roads are icy yet), but I'd be cool with the 3k NAM.

 

[Sctvman]

Tampa Bay weather guys getting this much engagement for flurries

 

[NCwx1992]

I told my paw in law we should go ride it out at his cottage in KDH. He said no thank you. 70mph winds. He expects a house or two to fall into the ocean Sunday

those OBX oceanfront properties have been falling into the ocean from a slight breeze on a sunny day lately.
i do not blame him.

 

[packfan98]

I would like to trade in both Nam models for the FV3. It’s a monster run for almost everyone.

The NAM’s sucked for my area. I’m off to bed. Maybe tomorrow will be better. Have fun!

 

[atlwx]

Please know that if you are terrible at spelling. You are not alone. We are many. We are the speacil modeks!

It was banter. My apologies. But I do hope @NCSNOW knows I was having a bit of fun.

God only knows how many times I hit the edit button. Glad this isn’t twitter and that we have an edit button!

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

3KM NAM reflects these super impresssive precip shields then output the most unimpressive QPF totals. It's really weird.

I mean, hey, it at least is wetter for me than the 12k is. It gives me about 0.3-0.4 QPF while the 12k says no, your county is going to be the big fat 0.1.

 

[SD]

FV3 is an easy foot here

She's a beaut

 

[Bigedd09]

Not sure if the western trend with the ULL is a good thing for the clt area


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[ChrisAMB]

Leaving this playing on the TV because why not. My kids don't understand how big a deal seeing this on TWC was.

 

[TigerSnow]

Here we are 24 hours or so from game time and we have no idea what's coming. Still a wide range of solutions depending on the models.

 

[ChrisAMB]

Not sure if the western trend with the ULL is a good thing for the clt area


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Personally think that trend will reverse. Just a hunch.

 

[TigerSnow]

Not sure if the western trend with the ULL is a good thing for the clt area


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I am a novice but I think that would pull the dry slot closer to us. It could very well happen. Experienced it a few times. Warning shots are close to being fired.

 

[Bigedd09]

Personally think that trend will reverse. Just a hunch.

The NAM is just a weird model. It’s so very well with upper levels but the precip maps change dramatically every run


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[Bigedd09]

I am a novice but I think that would pull the dry slot closer to us. It could very well happen. Experienced it a few times. Warning shots are close to being fired.

I mean I’m not too worried about the NAM. Let’s see what the RGEM shows here soon


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[TigerSnow]

I mean I’m not too worried about the NAM. Let’s see what the RGEM shows here soon


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I don't really know what I am looking at other than the snowfall maps. Just basing this off of what can go wrong will go wrong here. It's happened a ton the last 6-8 years in our area and it can easily happen with this ULL event.

 

[ChrisAMB]

The NAM is just a weird model. It’s so very well with upper levels but the precip maps change dramatically every run


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I will say the NAM was spot on last January with our coastal storm blowing up. Sniffed it out a couple of runs before anything else.

We're still ~36 hours away from the first of anything around here so I'm not fretting over it. The ingredients are there now it's just a roll of the dice.

 

[Tarheel1]

When warm!??

 

[ChrisAMB]

I don't really know what I am looking at other than the snowfall maps. Just basing this off of what can go wrong will go wrong here. It's happened a ton the last 6-8 years in our area and it can easily happen with this ULL event.

The models aren't resolving the banding with the ULL for one. Someone mentioned the totals will resemble "tiger stripes" when all is said and done in the western Carolinas and that sounds plausible. The main show is the coastal low. Who knows what it will throw back west.

 

[NCwx1992]

Here we are 24 hours or so from game time and we have no idea what's coming. Still a wide range of solutions depending on the models.

genuinely at a place of "i could get an inch or a foot or anything in between" so i guess just YOLO?

 

[Thrasher Fan]

I'm hoping to get to .1 QPF before this Temu storm gets here.

LOCK IN!

 

[SD]

I can find at least 4-5 models with 10-15 imby not counting the 2 sref members near 30. I can also find about as many with less than 3. What do you even do with this.

 

[TigerSnow]

I can find at least 4-5 models with 10-15 imby not counting the 2 sref members near 30. I can also find about as many with less than 3. What do you even do with this.

Laugh, cry or both. Its wild.

 

[jackendrickwx]

I can find at least 4-5 models with 10-15 imby not counting the 2 sref members near 30. I can also find about as many with less than 3. What do you even do with this.

Split the middle and pray

 

[SD]

Laugh, cry or both. Its wild.

Its ridiculous. I feel like snow events around here are like the dentist with no numbing

 

[ChrisAMB]

I can find at least 4-5 models with 10-15 imby not counting the 2 sref members near 30. I can also find about as many with less than 3. What do you even do with this.

Ignore them and check back with RAH's graphical products every few hours.

 

[TigerSnow]

Its ridiculous. I feel like snow events around here are like the dentist with no numbing

I am beginning to hate them. I just want to have one decent event in my area soon so I can play in it with my 5 year old before he's 18.

 

[SD]

I am beginning to hate them. I just want to have one decent event in my area soon so I can play in it with my 5 year old before he's 18.

That escalated quickly at the end lol

 

[TigerSnow]

That escalated quickly at the end lol

lol, hopefully before then. long day at work and ready for us all to cash in on something decent.

 

[xshare]

 

[NCSNOW]

It was banter. My apologies. But I do hope @NCSNOW knows I was having a bit of fun.

God only knows how many times I hit the edit button. Glad this isn’t twitter and that we have an edit button!

Lol. You good. Im a dinosaur, with big hands. Despise typing on these phones. My finger hits 2 letters, where yours is a custom fit for these gadgets. I shouldnt be in storm thread throwing around water cooler talk anyway.

 

[atlwx]

Lol. You good. Im a dinosaur, with big hands. Despise typing on these phones. My finger hits 2 letters, where yours is a custom fit for these gadgets

Oh. I feel you. I’ve been using glass keyboards since 2007. I still loathe them! And I’m also terrible at spelling. Nightmare combo.

 

[hendrik]

carolinas snow tracking in a nutshell

 

[YetAnotherRDUGuy]

I can find at least 4-5 models with 10-15 imby not counting the 2 sref members near 30. I can also find about as many with less than 3. What do you even do with this.

Let me channel stats class back in the day. Take the median or the mean, depending on your mood.

Or take the mode if you're trying to be cute.

Almost forgot, toss out the the high/low outliers cause they deviate too much from the mean. Too much skewwww.