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Pattern February Discussion Part II

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Webberweather53 said:
That certainly could, and if there's any snowpack leftover from the preceding storm(s) in the northeast US, advection of this airmass into that disturbance could enhance lower level baroclinicity and of course if the NS dug out ahead of this, the upstream wavelengths would shorten and that could amplify our cut-off ULL in the southern stream. This system will be riding along the leading edge of a rather robust wave packet in the Pacific jet that was generated in large part by the ongoing Pacific MJO pulse and this wave packet will eventually enter the North America domain by the 20th, so there's some legitimacy to this potential threat... It's also not everyday that you see a 140-150 KT subtropical jet streak crashing into south-central California...
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I thought so and would have taken the idea to Publix as currency to buy food with (LOL) - but you explain and verify - thanks so much, Man!
 
Stormlover said:
Wrong. Never has been. In Southern states, tornado season is typically from March to May. In the Southern Plains, it lasts from May to early June. On the Gulf Coast, tornadoes occur most often during the spring. And in the Northern Plains, Northern states and upper Midwest, peak season is in June or July.
February is the third LOWEST month for tornadoes
http://www.ustornadoes.com/2016/04/06/annual-and-monthly-tornado-averages-across-the-united-states/
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Thanks for giving me the opportunity to rethink my original point.


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ULL slightly faster and more east than the 12z Op at 114...but stronger w/ moisture, healthy PV just north of the lakes.
 
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