The one interesting thing it has is the secondary hit of freezing rain Thursday night into Friday morning. I would normally discount this as its cold bias but RAH also mentions a chance of freezing rain tomorrow night (for some).
12z Friday:
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Wintry Feb 17-19 Smastsmasher Snow/Ice
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
12z Friday:
I wanna bet these high clouds move out and a lot of us warm 2-4 degrees past the forecasted temp then clouds move in later and things retreat north a tad
Flotown
Member
LickWx
Member
It’s sunny here ! Dews been steadily rising as well.
That would be an impressive gradient. It's already up to -2.9 (27 F) here.
Ron Burgundy
Member
Sleetnado east of Lufkin? All we need now are the locusts...
Here’s what I’m thinking looking at the FRAM ice map, most of the stuff south of the dashed line is mostly rain (maybe spotty light ice), north/inside of the red line is the bad stuff, and in between is the lighter ice 
Meh, I don't think they will warm that much. The clouds will move out but it has limited warming to some degree. I am more focused on DP's which are running lower than anticipated.
Just wanted to drop in and say the WRF sisters are not good at modeling winter weather. Never have been. Would be cool if they were right on occasion but they never are.
I caught a news clip yesterday of a sno-nado in Texas. I've never heard of such a thing. Seems like something that would occur on another planet.
I think the areas hit hardest last time and those impacts move south towards Raleigh and maybe Charlotte but they may be too far south ... the next level of ice storm seems to effect the areas that got hardest hit last time .. ugly stuff
Probably gonna be where north Charlotte/north, northwestern Raleigh has some visible ice while the southern parts it doesn’t even look like it did anything
packfan98
Moderator
Put the banter elsewhere please.
GSP
As of 935 AM: No significant changes to forecast thinking for
now. Question remains how far south does the cold air move and how
far south can the freezing wet bulb temps make it when precip
develops. Current Warnings/Advisories still look well placed;
however, could see small ice accums farther south into the Advisory
counties than currently forecast. Stay tuned for the latest updates.
As of 935 AM: No significant changes to forecast thinking for
now. Question remains how far south does the cold air move and how
far south can the freezing wet bulb temps make it when precip
develops. Current Warnings/Advisories still look well placed;
however, could see small ice accums farther south into the Advisory
counties than currently forecast. Stay tuned for the latest updates.
iGRXY
Member
They were right with the snow setup a couple of weeks ago so never say never.
Looks about right with your edits. The furthermost North counties in SC may see a bit, but nothing like NC is going to end up as. That national blend is a little bit overzealous because of a rogue member or two. I'm not even sure Charlotte sees much of any ZR at this point.
We are entering the time frame where models, while helpful are not necessarily the answer. We are in now casting time. Even GSP alluded to the wetbulb, etc. And while the sun came back out that could also cause us to drop more tonight before clouds move in. If you look at the visible satellite, the main system is still pretty far out.
For once the GFS looks pretty solid with this setup in NC ngl, surprised at how cold it has wake tho lol 
