We are seeing that look appear in the long range more than any other on the models. Is the writing on the wall and we just don't want to accept it? Seems if that look even comes close to verifying most of Jan is toast.
We are seeing that look appear in the long range more than any other on the models. Is the writing on the wall and we just don't want to accept it? Seems if that look even comes close to verifying most of Jan is toast.
Huge difference is this year has a clear nino lean whereas 11-12 was a Nina coupled to a cold PDO. The nino ish global circulation means the STJ will be more active than normal over our sector of the globe and even if a massive vortex shows up over Alaska, the end result will very likely be much more seasonable in the SE US than 11-12 but probably still above average.Turn the lights out on winter if we do have a vortex over Alaska like that. If 11/12 was similar to that, that winter was very meh.
Really lucky we’re not in a Nina right now or it would be time to hit the beach.
Really lucky we’re not in a Nina right now or it would be time to hit the beach.
Regarding the cold Arctic/+AO being progged, would it make you feel better that we'll have a shot to finally get the Arctic down to near normal on this map in early Jan?
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Yup. Impossible to please everyone. It can’t be anomalously cold everywhere at the same timeRegarding the cold Arctic/+AO being progged, would it make you feel better that we'll have a shot to finally get the Arctic down to near normal on this map in early Jan? Think of it as a sacrifice to make the polar bears happy.
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Regarding the cold Arctic/+AO being progged, would it make you feel better that we'll have a shot to finally get the Arctic down to near normal on this map in early Jan? Think of it as a sacrifice to make the polar bears happy.
View attachment 28806
Hour 1,000? MaybeWatch tomorrow, models will look great.
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As Webber pointed out...2012 was similar a pattern as we are about to experience. But in Feb we cashed in with this baby.
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I warned y'all not to peak at the Happy Hour GEFS. Before that, y'all were very content, full of Christmas cheer, and looking forward to a Jammin' Jan. But instead y;all peaked and suddenly y'all think the winter has suddenly been flushed down the commode lol.