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Misc Fall - End of 2019 Whamby

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Turn the lights out on winter if we do have a vortex over Alaska like that. If 11/12 was similar to that, that winter was very meh.
 
There is a reason the models look like poop long range.

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If the E is right and she goes into 4 it’s over. End of story!


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Turn the lights out on winter if we do have a vortex over Alaska like that. If 11/12 was similar to that, that winter was very meh.
Huge difference is this year has a clear nino lean whereas 11-12 was a Nina coupled to a cold PDO. The nino ish global circulation means the STJ will be more active than normal over our sector of the globe and even if a massive vortex shows up over Alaska, the end result will very likely be much more seasonable in the SE US than 11-12 but probably still above average.
 
Regarding the cold Arctic/+AO being progged, would it make you feel better that we'll have a shot to finally get the Arctic down to near normal on this map in early Jan? Think of it as a sacrifice to make the polar bears happy and to shut up Greta and her fellow GW fanatics.1577062164303.png
 
Regarding the cold Arctic/+AO being progged, would it make you feel better that we'll have a shot to finally get the Arctic down to near normal on this map in early Jan? Think of it as a sacrifice to make the polar bears happy.
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Yup. Impossible to please everyone. It can’t be anomalously cold everywhere at the same time
 
I'm glad I had no expectations this winter the last few have just really changed things for me and honestly even we had good patterns it never snowed
 
As Webber pointed out...2012 was similar a pattern as we are about to experience. But in Feb we cashed in with this baby.

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I warned y'all not to peak at the Happy Hour GEFS. Before that, y'all were very content, full of Christmas cheer, and looking forward to a Jammin' Jan. But instead y'all peaked and suddenly y'all think the winter has suddenly been flushed down the commode lol.
 
I warned y'all not to peak at the Happy Hour GEFS. Before that, y'all were very content, full of Christmas cheer, and looking forward to a Jammin' Jan. But instead y;all peaked and suddenly y'all think the winter has suddenly been flushed down the commode lol.

Not all of winter. Just the first 90%.


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