It goes over much better if you keep your posts conversational instead of tying yourself down to a forecast. Throw out some scenarios, key features to look for, trends in the models, questions about things you want more information about, etc... If the tone is focused more on learning, analyzing, and continuing an open dialogue, then it won’t seem like you are proclaiming that you are an expert and you know exactly what is going to happen. Drawing a line in the sand like you did last time with your predictions set you up for criticism and having to defend yourself which can divide folks the forum and zap your enthusiasm. Nobody knows what will happen. That’s why we like coming here and discussing the weather. This is my humble opinion anyway.
Carry on!