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Misc Fall - End of 2019 Whamby

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GaWx said:
I see near normal 1st half of winter 1979-80 at both RDU and at ATL.
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I remember 79-80 very well. SE was hammered. Elizabeth City NC received 20 inches of snow with one event. Norfolk VA, were I worked as a an observer at the Naval Air Station, was warm into January. The fist storm hit on January 7th. About 17 inches. We had several 5-7 events through February. The big one hit March 3-6, with over 20 inches. Winds gusted over 50mph, visibilities dropped to zero in heavy snow and blowing snow. Drifts were the size of department stores.
 
Snowmizer said:
I remember 79-80 very well. SE was hammered. Elizabeth City NC received 20 inches of snow with one event. Norfolk VA, were I worked as a an observer at the Naval Air Station, was warm into January. The fist storm hit on January 7th. About 17 inches. We had several 5-7 events through February. The big one hit March 3-6, with over 20 inches. Winds gusted over 50mph, visibilities dropped to zero in heavy snow and blowing snow. Drifts were the size of department stores.
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Yes. I lived on the northern Outer Banks then. We caught a snow storm in early February (6th I think) and then the big dog on March 1-3.
 
Looks like our family will be heading to North Georgia to see some snow if it is still in the forecast. Might be the only chance to see it this year. Looks like a dusting to 1in. I’ll take it.


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Rain Cold said:
LR disaster continues. Still no light at the end of the tunnel, and I'm not sure we're actually even anywhere close to the tunnel. Looks pretty mild with occasional cool shots as systems move by.
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Yep disaster is the only way to describe it. That's not a pattern that gives up easily. The models have been pretty good. A week ago it caught the 7th-10th time frame and we thought it was turning in our favor only to see that the shot was transient and right back to crap.

I punted January and took heat. By Jan 10th if the LR still looks like this I'm punting the 1st half of Feb. Then may as well think about punting the whole thing at that point. Smh
 
Snowless & Grumpy said:
Yep disaster is the only way to describe it. That's not a pattern that gives up easily. The models have been pretty good. A week ago it caught the 7th-10th time frame and we thought it was turning in our favor only to see that the shot was transient and right back to crap.

I punted January and took heat. By Jan 10th if the LR still looks like this I'm punting the 1st half of Feb. Then may as well think about punting the whole thing at that point. Smh
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The period 1/7-10 has been expected to be transient cool at best. No surprise about the subsequent warming whatsoever. The idea has always been that we’d be very lucky from only transient cold just to average N 1/1-15 as opposed to AN, especially when taking into account the return of warm MJO and -AAM, strong +AO, and +NAO. No change in that idea. In other words, expect AN net. And enjoy the N to BN days before the follow up torch.
 
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We always look back and say the writing was on the wall. This time it's on the jumbotron up for the whole stadium to see! Yet some won't admit that. I personally don't think we get out of this. I'd be surprised if we even get one event this year to be honest. Optimists save this or whatever you want and if it busts I can take the heat! But I'll bring the heat if I'm right.
 
Snowless & Grumpy said:
We always look back and say the writing was on the wall. This time it's on the jumbotron up for the whole stadium to see! Yet some won't admit that. I personally don't think we get out of this. I'd be surprised if we even get one event this year to be honest. Optimists save this or whatever you want and if it busts I can take the heat! But I'll bring the heat if I'm right.
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Reality wins every time.
 
Snowless & Grumpy said:
We always look back and say the writing was on the wall. This time it's on the jumbotron up for the whole stadium to see! Yet some won't admit that. I personally don't think we get out of this. I'd be surprised if we even get one event this year to be honest. Optimists save this or whatever you want and if it busts I can take the heat! But I'll bring the heat if I'm right.
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Some will disappear IF this doesn’t turn around. Not to be heard from for awhile.


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Snowless & Grumpy said:
We always look back and say the writing was on the wall. This time it's on the jumbotron up for the whole stadium to see! Yet some won't admit that. I personally don't think we get out of this. I'd be surprised if we even get one event this year to be honest. Optimists save this or whatever you want and if it busts I can take the heat! But I'll bring the heat if I'm right.
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Canceling winter on 1/1 classic

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Well fellow college FB fans; who will be the next SEC EAST team to win national title? You think it will be Florida, Georgia, or gulp, Tennessee? I think we can rule out UK, Candy, South Carolina, and MIzzou. None of those 4 will win FB national title in our lifetime. Of course, at this juncture, I'm not sure any SEC east team will win another title in our lifetime. I'm going to guess it will be UF, and it will happen within about 5 years.
 
Snowless & Grumpy said:
We always look back and say the writing was on the wall. This time it's on the jumbotron up for the whole stadium to see! Yet some won't admit that. I personally don't think we get out of this. I'd be surprised if we even get one event this year to be honest. Optimists save this or whatever you want and if it busts I can take the heat! But I'll bring the heat if I'm right.
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The question now is, how many more years of this Pacific Hell until we finally get out of this, even if it's for only a 1 or 2 year break. #frustrated
 
SD said:
Canceling winter on 1/1 classic

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For the record I officially haven't punted Feb yet. But it's 4th down and I have a decision to make in about 2 weeks.

But at the moment I really I don't see much hope. But that's my opinion. We have a warm pool over the Maritime continent. A strong MJO in the warm phases and looking like it may want to stall there and loop. The big Pacific ridge that's solid as a rock on all ensembles holding strong. No sign of Atlantic blocking (what a shocker) and no sign of a SSWE to weaken a record strong PV. What else could possibly be against us?

I know some will say Jan 2000 and others were like this. And that's a fair point. But that's an exception not the rule most likely.
 
KyloG said:
That is one BFR. Size of North America

View attachment 29444
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The GEFS would agree for the most part.
ac21f2bc73a882e2da4f9a2383b8f053.jpg



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Snowmizer said:
I remember 79-80 very well. SE was hammered. Elizabeth City NC received 20 inches of snow with one event. Norfolk VA, were I worked as a an observer at the Naval Air Station, was warm into January. The fist storm hit on January 7th. About 17 inches. We had several 5-7 events through February. The big one hit March 3-6, with over 20 inches. Winds gusted over 50mph, visibilities dropped to zero in heavy snow and blowing snow. Drifts were the size of department stores.
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We got 28” from the March 3rd event. There were also one or two events in February 1980 as well. I lived in Camden County (south end) and I was in fifth grade.
 
cd2play said:
Well fellow college FB fans; who will be the next SEC EAST team to win national title? You think it will be Florida, Georgia, or gulp, Tennessee? I think we can rule out UK, Candy, South Carolina, and MIzzou. None of those 4 will win FB national title in our lifetime. Of course, at this juncture, I'm not sure any SEC east team will win another title in our lifetime. I'm going to guess it will be UF, and it will happen within about 5 years.
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Tennessee
 
I'd like to be able to go back 20 years with today's technology and see what the long range actually looked like going into Jan. 2000. Something tells me it wouldn't be nearly as ugly as it looks now going forward and we'd see a way out. I literally can't find anything positive at all going forward. NOTHING!
 
Snowless & Grumpy said:
I'd like to be able to go back 20 years with today's technology and see what the long range actually looked like going into Jan. 2000. Something tells me it wouldn't be nearly as ugly as it looks now going forward and we'd see a way out. I literally can't find anything positive at all going forward. NOTHING!
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There's always next year. Or is there? :(
 
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