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Misc Fall - End of 2019 Whamby

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Rain Cold said:
We should have a contest and see who can identify a specific 48 hour period within the 7-10 day time frame during which the SE will experience a major winter storm. And I don't mean dart throwing. I mean laying out the case why a major winter storm, affecting non-mountainous areas of the SE will occur. (It can include the mountains but not be limited to them).
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I'll be a good contestant for that lol. I already have a time window that I'm watching, New Years or a few days afterwards. Even though, that's not in the 7-10 day period. I'm not expecting no major winter storms across the southeastern US for the remaining days this month. A pattern transition is possible by New Years, and during that pattern transition, that's when a wide spread winter storm could be possible. Of course, I'm going out on a limb as always, but I'm the person to analyze models in detail and come up with possible predictions and not just go by what the models show at face value. The possible pattern change (as of now) will favor a -EPO, -NAO, neutral to slight positive PNA, neutral to a slight +AO with an active subtropical jet. So far this season, there has been numerous of ULLs and Gulf lows, something is bound to happen in the matter of time. I really do think it's going to come to a time where there is going to be significant snow/frozen precip over a large coverage area of the southeastern US.
 
Hey guys, thanks for your hard work on the forum. Not sure what other board I saw it on when scrolling, but there was a complaint about ya'll going down when weather happens and it was totally off the mark. Before yesterday I couldn't remember the last time you were down, so thank you!
 
campamy said:
Hey guys, thanks for your hard work on the forum. Not sure what other board I saw it on when scrolling, but there was a complaint about ya'll going down when weather happens and it was totally off the mark. Before yesterday I couldn't remember the last time you were down, so thank you!
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Said other board can kiss my ass :)

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first half of Jan cold looking to be a real possibility now, listening to the chatter and the twitterbub, so, who thinks we get a full throttle from that lobe of cold or just little chunks here and there? I'm going for a full throttle deep 2 week cold spell. Lots of hope, lots of heartbreak for snow.
 
SETNwx said:
first half of Jan cold looking to be a real possibility now, listening to the chatter and the twitterbub, so, who thinks we get a full throttle from that lobe of cold or just little chunks here and there? I'm going for a full throttle deep 2 week cold spell. Lots of hope, lots of heartbreak for snow.
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I sloshed in the tub. Maybe it's working. Y'all slosh with me.... Teamwork!!!
 
I guess the D6 system’s coffin has been nailed shut? I hadn’t checked any models in the last 24 hours.
 
Would like an audit of the upgrade today and where money is being spent during my timeout I had bojangles planned with lots of repeated discussion but server was down wow no refund huge bo box
 
Can you imagine how pissed off us southeastern folk would be with a wedge digging into Atlanta and the precip shield stuck in the low country/Deep South.. that scenario is considerably worse than warm rain. Jesus 9DEE2F1D-6820-45B5-BAC0-47EF5527D066.png
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Can you imagine how pissed off us southeastern folk would be with a wedge digging into Atlanta and the precip shield stuck in the low country/Deep South.. that scenario is considerably worse than warm rain. Jesus View attachment 28424
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As it stands now I'm glad its suppressed. Tired of rain. The drought is gone. Don't care to see anymore precip for awhile unless its snow.
 
CFS Weeklies for Jan are looking okay, and jibe with all the chitter chatter from the higher ups in the climate talking field on twitter and 33 und rain type arenas. 1576646034774.png
 
That GFS run made my balls sweaty. In a good way ? no but seriously that was fun after the poopy day it’s been
 
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Yeah, the 0z GFS is loaded with eye candy and potential for winter storms for sure! Fun to look at, just entertainment for now. But good gawd, the severe cold makes it far south! It's taking us back to 2014!
 
I feel like the pattern that was being shown, and will not in a million years happen, by GFS towards the end is the type of deal that can get you two storms in less than a week
 
Be careful if you think you know what’s happening with the 21-22 system .. way more Gfs members support a system way further north than what models are showing and show the usual suspects with wintry precip in western NC and the mountains ...
 
Rain Cold said:
Seems chilly?

And Raleigh will get snow, by the way, while I get rain 9 miles SE.
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But see by the time you saw that and responded the GFS has changed already... Lol got to be quick to enjoy fantasy arctic outbreaks
 
It’s a torch here today !!!
b921c0b1cda419479a0ef61604cae8c2.png



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