Pattern Failboat February

[Chazwin]

Yeah I’m not falling for it this time. It will either be non existent, too far north, or a new wrinkle in the mix too far south.

Well too far north on one, too far south in the next. Got to split the middle next time right?

 

[broken025]

Looks good. Just pretend this is all snow.

 

[SnowwxAtl]

please. The GSP-CLT crowd needs this… the desperation is higher then ever View attachment 166902

You can shave 2 to 3 degrees off of that...this is a legit threat. Let's rest up boys!

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Icy look if it f doesn’t find a way to cut down the road. Thats a lot of high pressure

 

[Mitch West]

Rest up fam! We rage again soon! Hour 240 is nothing but a fart in the wind. Let’s go!

 

[tractor girl]

Yikes. Also that dry hole just north of ATL

 

[Spurs up]

im to tired to follow this one. im also sick of being in bullseye

 

[Stevo24]

im to tired to follow this one. im also sick of being in bullseye

Yeah agreed I honestly don’t think I can do another one only to fail again.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Sleepless nights start again.
View attachment 166901

im to tired to follow this one. im also sick of being in bullseye

You’ll have 10 months to rest when this is over

 

[SnowNiner]

Yea, there's some real potential with this threat. Just need the cut off to come out at the right time.

HA!! Threat is DOA, no chance of that, lol. 0-2 so far with cut offs getting stuck in the SW.

 

[lexxnchloe]

Looks good. Just pretend this is all snow.
View attachment 166903

A few more adjustments to the SE

 

[Iceagewhereartthou]

That's 4 runs in a row with a CAD storm. Plus it's got some EPS support. Also the EPS/CMC/GEFS 5h means all look conducive to something like this with how they set up around day 7/8.

View attachment 166900

Needs more blue... tired of pink and orange. If NO and FL can get the blue so can we.... dang it.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

GEFS is trending rather quickly to a look favorable at H5 for a CAD/miller B winter storm

 

[SnowwxAtl]

GEFS is trending rather quickly to a look favorable at H5 for a CAD/miller B winter storm View attachment 166909

Was the Feb 14 a CAD/Miller B storm Fro?

 

[Tokenfreak]

We want more snow not the unfun freezing rain and sleet lol. Be interesting to see what and if anything happens on Feb. 1st

 

[DixieBlizzard]

I am all about another model "chase" but not sure if I can trust another model powered by maple syrup. Nope. No way.

 

[LukeBarrette]

GEFS is trending rather quickly to a look favorable at H5 for a CAD/miller B winter storm View attachment 166909

This is why I really haven’t been worried so far in Blacksburg. We are guaranteed a solid snow CAD setup every other winter. We didn’t get one last year so this should track.

 

[DixieBlizzard]

The last one did cut. All the way to the coast!

 

[Chazwin]

Was the Feb 14 a CAD/Miller B storm Fro?

Not Fro, but I believe it was a hybrid A/B. It definitely has a very strong CAD that went as far south as southern GA and as far west as into central AL at one point. The initial low moved along the Gulf Coast to about Panama City before coming inland and then reforming on the other side of the CAD off the GA coast.

 

[Avalanche]

Yikes. Also that dry hole just north of ATL
View attachment 166906

Is this cutting up inland or the coast, or just out to sea west to east

 

[td tide]

Looks good. Just pretend this is all snow.
View attachment 166903

I have been missed to the north and south in central Alabama this year. This one misses me north, south, east, and west at the same time. 100% chance this verifies.

 

[Pops]

Know it will change next run..but this thing is just barely in lala land.

 

[rburrel2]

06z GFS graphcast had this at hr240... lol.

 

[superjames1992]

I feel pretty good about this one as far as a wintry storm threat for someone in the CAD regions (especially close to the escarpment). Not necessarily as a big snow threat but it could be quite the ice storm. Hoping for more snow, of course, though.

Of course, it may also fall apart and cut to Chicago.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

euro is trending favorably at H5 as well

 

[CNCsnwfan1210]

euro is trending favorably at H5 as well View attachment 166915

TPV trying to find a home over SE Canada again with an upper low over the SW US, we’ve seen that before


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Arcc]

GEFS is trending rather quickly to a look favorable at H5 for a CAD/miller B winter storm View attachment 166909

Dang that trend is undefeated this winter. The west just wants to ridge and the east just wants a trough.

 

[JHS]

We want more snow not the unfun freezing rain and sleet lol. Be interesting to see what and if anything happens on Feb. 1st

I would take snow or sleet, but not the ice. ZR at 30-32 is one thing but having it at 25-27 would be another.

 

[SnowNiner]

Needs more blue... tired of pink and orange. If NO and FL can get the blue so can we.... dang it.

Just don’t be a complete cutter, keep it south of us and I think it would be. Cold in Canada means we have some super cad potential. Probably strong enough and cold enough for 85 snow if all goes as usual for past storms the last 10 years.

What do you bet through the cut off wanders west and gets stuck in the base of the western ridge. That’s been the theme this year of us getting trolled.

 

[Rain Cold]

This is not a warm look for the eastern US. I'm not sure we're going to have a sustained warm-up this year. We'll see.

 

[SnowNiner]

This is not a warm look for the eastern US. I'm not sure we're going to have a sustained warm-up this year. We'll see.

View attachment 166918

View attachment 166919

How many times in the last decade has the coldest air in the hemisphere been on our side, especially for this long? Almost feels like it’s just a matter of time before we get a hit.

 

[EmersonGA]

Yikes. Also that dry hole just north of ATL
View attachment 166906

It will happen just like the storm a couple of weeks ago.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

It’s felt like the last few winter storms have been the same story, but big TPV parked over SE Canada. Felt like towards veri it digs more into the EC and the wave in the SW gets held back further. But we’ll see

 

[Rain Cold]

It’s felt like the last few winter storms have been the same story, but big TPV parked over SE Canada. Felt like towards veri it digs more into the EC and the wave in the SW gets held back further. But we’ll see View attachment 166920

Fully expect that to happen again. Those waves get stuck. Not surprising without a strong STJ.

 

[Psalm 148:8]

I take comfort that in a few more runs all that pretty pink will be gone bye bye! No thank you!!! Dang!! We got to have school so I can sub!!! I just bought new tires!!! We out 3 days this week! Yall killing me!!

 

[Pops]

Yeah bet that bad boy sitsss

 

[SnowNiner]

It’s felt like the last few winter storms have been the same story, but big TPV parked over SE Canada. Felt like towards veri it digs more into the EC and the wave in the SW gets held back further. But we’ll see View attachment 166920

It probably gets stuck like the last 2. But imagine if it didn’t, with the CAD the gfs had. Man, it would be historic.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

It probably gets stuck like the last 2. But imagine if it didn’t, with the CAD the gfs had. Man, it would be historic.

Yea some of our bigger Cold air damming winter storms have happened during retrogression, problem is do we kick the wave out the SW and do we time the EC trough moving out to allow a cold high to slide and settle. Not much blocking either so timing could be a issue

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

It’s felt like the last few winter storms have been the same story, but big TPV parked over SE Canada. Felt like towards veri it digs more into the EC and the wave in the SW gets held back further. But we’ll see View attachment 166920

That’s cool. Push it back west another 250 miles to send a ridge up the west coast and we can get snow in Florida again

 

[Oconeexman]

Give me some euro support and I'm on board!